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Köln vs Dortmund

Köln
Köln
  • 2 - 1
  • Played

Dortmund

Preview:
Köln and Borussia Dortmund meet at RheinEnergieStadion, in a match for the 17th round of the Bundesliga. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 3 head‑to‑heads they won 2 and lost 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Bundesliga, on 18‑10‑2014, Köln won by (2‑1). K. Vogt (40' ) and S. Zoller (74' ) scored for Köln and C. Immobile (48' ) for Borussia Dortmund. Köln registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

Analysis of Köln

After 5 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses, the home team is in the 10th position, havinf won 21 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Werder Bremen by (1‑1), after in the previous match they have lost (0‑1) at home, against Augsburg. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in away matches; against 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. For the league, Köln won 10 points out of 24 possible points, after 2 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the last 8 home matches.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 5 home matches. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (5 out of 8 matches). In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 7 of the last 8 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Köln is going through a negative moment. In the last round they had their 4th consecutive match with no wins, after the 1-1draw against Werder Bremen. Although they do have the home advantage, we expect coach Peter Stoger will present a defensive strategy, given the offensive power of Dortmund. Therefore, he should rely on counterattacks to try to surprise the away team, using the qualities of Modeste and Risse in such offensive moves. The only absence in the squad should be Leonardo Bittencourt, who is recovering from an injury.

Confirmed Lineup: T. Horn, F. Sørensen, J. Hector, D. Heintz, P. Olkowski, D. Maroh, D. Švento, M. Risse, M. Lehmann, Y. Gerhardt, S. Zoller.
Coach: P. Stöger.

Analysis of Borussia Dortmund

The away team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 38 points won, after 12 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Wolfsburg, by (1‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Eintracht Frankfurt, by (4‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 32 goals scored and 22 conceded; against 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss at their stadium, with 55 goals scored and 13 conceded. In their last match, for the DFB Pokal, they got an away win against Augsburg by (0‑2). In the last 8 away league matches Borussia Dortmund has a record of 5 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 16 points out of 24 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 6 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times but have turned the score around in 2.

Coach Thomas Tuchel comes to this match after 3 consecutive wins in the German league, the latest against Eintracht Frankfurt, by 4-1. They should play as they have done lately, that is, with short passes, constant off ball movements and fast counterattacks. One player clear stands out, the team’s best scorer Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang. In this match Tuchel will not be able to count on Nuri Sahin, Marco Reus and Erik Durm, who are recovering from injuries.

Confirmed Lineup: R. Bürki, S. Papastathopoulos, Joo-Ho Park, M. Ginter, M. Hummels, J. Hofmann, J. Weigl, İ. Gündoğan, H. Mkhitaryan, S. Kagawa, P. Aubameyang.
Coach: T. Tuchel.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario is that there won’t be many goals in this match. We expect a balanced match, dominated by Borussia Dortmund, that should create the best goal opportunities. However, Dortmund has a few important absences and the last head-to-heads at this stadium have ended with few goals.
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Tips : Köln vs Borussia Dortmund

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Bundesliga - 2015/2016

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 44.12%
  • Draws 23.2%
  • Away team wins 32.68%
  • Over 1.5 77.45%
  • Over 2.5 55.88%
  • Over 3.5 33.99%
  • Goals 866
  • Goals /match 2.83
  • Goals /match home 1.57
  • Goals /match away 1.26
  • Both teams score 54.58%
  • Goals after 80' 15.47%
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