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Hoffenheim Mainz 05 betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This clash should not be one of the most balanced of this round of the German Championship, as it puts face-to-face two teams that have been doing campaigns somewhat different so far. While Hoffenheim follow in the first half of the qualifying table, Mainz is among the last three placed. The home team bets heavily on kicks from outside the area, but its defense fails in many aspects, especially in the aerial game, the coverage of the sides and the combat to more skillful players. Mainz is struggling to retain possession of the ball and also to finish, while its defense fails in defensive set pieces. So by playing at home and having a good attack, it is a good option to bet in Hoffenheim's victory.
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Preview
Hoffenheim and Mainz 05 meet at Wirsol Rhein‑Neckar‑Arena, in a match for the 22th round of the Bundesliga. Hoffenheim got an away win by (2‑3), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 20‑09‑2017. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 5 head‑to‑heads they won 3, tied 1 and lost 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Bundesliga, on 04‑02‑2017, Hoffenheim won by (4‑0). M. Uth (5' ), M. Terrazzino (81' ) and Á. Szalai (86' and 90' ) scored the goals of the match for Hoffenheim. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis Hoffenheim

The home team is currently in the 9th position of the league, with 28 points won, after 7 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Bayern München, by (5‑2). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Hertha BSC, by (1‑1). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in away matches; against 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches Hoffenheim has a record of 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 18 points out of 30 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (5 out of 10 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 21 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. there are 2 periods that stand out in the last 10 home matches for this competition: they have scored 7 of their 16 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have suffered 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Hoffenheim managed to stay undefeated until the sixth round of the German Championship, but then saw its income fall, and now has been five matches without a win, having suffered three defeats in that period. At least the team returned to score in the last round, against Hertha Berlin, in a game where it showed a lot of defensive consistency and missed a few passes, having finished almost triple the opponent's time, thus conquering a draw away from home. However, the low score of this confrontation has been somewhat unusual, since its defensive system has been acting inconsistently, being among the four most leaked of the competition. However, the team also has its strengths, such as the exchange of passes, in which it has the third best average of correct matches of the championship. The 3-1-4-2 has been the main tactical formation used by coach Nagelsmann, although he has been testing other alternatives, and in that duel will keep Hübner as a reference in defense.

Confirmed Lineup: Oliver Baumann, Kevin Vogt, Kevin Akpoguma, Benjamin Hübner, Serge Gnabry, Nico Schulz, Nadiem Amiri, Florian Grillitsch, Dennis Geiger, Andrej Kramarić, Ádám Szalai.
Coach: A. Breitenreiter.

Analysis Mainz 05

The away team is currently in the 16th position of the league, with 20 points won, after 5 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Bayer Leverkusen, by (2‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Bayern München, by (0‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 6 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 28 conceded; against 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 28 conceded. In their last match, for the DFB Pokal, they got an away loss against Eintracht Frankfurt by (3‑0). In the last 10 away league matches Mainz 05 has a record of 4 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 30 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 10 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (4 out of 10 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 21 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 15 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Mainz continues to perform poorly in this edition of the German Championship, having only one win in the last nine rounds, and now comes from two consecutive defeats. The last of them occurred at home against Bayern Munich in a game where it missed many passes and had little possession of the ball, showing a bad offensive performance, suffering another setback at home. The numbers of the competition reveal that the team has been characterized by a very inconsistent defense, so much so that today is the most leaked of the championship, next to Koln. Away from home, the team owns the second worst campaign, having won only four of the 30 points played. The coach has often changed the tactical system of the team, but should not have great absences in this duel.

Confirmed Lineup: Robin Zentner, Giulio Donati, Daniel Brosinski, Alexander Hack, Leon Balogun, Abdou Diallo, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Nigel de Jong, Danny Latza, Yoshinori Muto, Emil Berggreen.
Coach: B. Henriksen.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05 match, on 10 February 2018, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Hoffenheim wins ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05 on 10 February 2018 will be played at Sinsheim, PreZero Arena.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Hoffenheim Mainz 05 match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Hoffenheim at with 86% of the tips.

 

Bundesliga - 2017/2018

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 45.42%
  • Draws 27.12%
  • Away team wins 27.45%
  • Over 1.5 78.76%
  • Over 2.5 51.96%
  • Over 3.5 30.72%
  • Goals 855
  • Goals /match 2.79
  • Goals /match home 1.6
  • Goals /match away 1.19
  • Both teams score 54.9%
  • Goals after 80' 15.09%
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