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Freiburg Augsburg betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

For this match, Freiburg should play more defensively, as a draw is enough to escape the relegation playoffs and the team should not expose itself unnecessarily, trying just not to lose. In addition, Augsburg no longer fights for anything else in the Bundesliga and will play just to fulfill schedule, as well as being the third team to have conceded fewer goals in the away matches among the 18 Bundesliga teams. Given these factors, we believe in a game with a few goals, given that the away team's defense is quite fragile, but not many due to the circumstances of this duel.
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Preview
Freiburg and Augsburg meet at Schwarzwald‑Stadion, in a match for the 34th round of the Bundesliga. These teams have tied (3‑3) in the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 16‑12‑2017. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history indicates total balance between these two teams, since there is a record of 2 wins for each team in the last 4 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium was on 22‑10‑2016, in a match for the Bundesliga, Freiburg won by (2‑1). The goals of the match were scored by M. Philipp (66' ) and N. Petersen (78' ), for Freiburg, and by Halil Altıntop (84' ), for Augsburg. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Freiburg

The home team is currently in the 15th position of the league, with 33 points won, after 7 wins, 12 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Köln, by (3‑2). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Borussia M'gladbach, by (3‑1). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 5 draws and 9 losses in away matches; against 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches Freiburg has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 17 points out of 30 possible. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (9 out of 16 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 10 of their last 16 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. They haven't been able to score the first goal. In fact, they have only opened up the score in 6 of the last 33 matches for the Bundesliga, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 4 of those 6 matches and have held on to the lead in 4. They have conceded the first goal in 21 of their 33 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 3. In the last 16 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 6 of their 17 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Freiburg arrives for this final round needing a draw not to fall into the relegation playoffs without depending on other results and should make a more paused match, focusing first on defending and then attacking. The team has serious problems in both the offensive and defensive sectors, having scored only 30 goals, being the second worst attack of the competition, and suffered 56 goals, having the second most leaked defense. Playing at home like this Saturday's match, Freiburg ended a series of 3 losses with a good win in the last game and the most worrying thing is that it is the team that scored the least goals only with 15 goals in 16 games, but on the other hand, has the fifth defense less leaked in this type of situation. For the game against Augsburg, coach Hecking will not be able to count on midfielder Schuster on account of injury.

Confirmed Lineup: Alexander Schwolow, Manuel Gulde, Lukas Kübler, Christian Günter, Marc-Oliver Kempf, Nicolas Höfler, Janik Haberer, Mike Frantz, Marco Terrazzino, Tim Kleindienst, Nils Petersen.
Coach: C. Streich.

Analysis Augsburg

The away team is currently in the 11th position of the league, with 41 points won, after 10 wins, 11 draws and 12 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Hertha BSC, by (2‑2). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Schalke 04, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 19 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 22 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Augsburg has a record of 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (6 out of 16 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 33 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 15 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 16 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 7 of their 20 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Augsburg arrives to this last round just to fulfill schedule, as it does not dispute anything else in this competition, having no chance of being relegated or to compete in the European competitions next season. The team has an average income in both the offensive and defensive sectors, playing very irregularly in both of them and its defense has failed in the last rounds, having conceded at least 2 goals in its last 2 matches. Playing away from home, such as this Saturday's clash, Augsburg has not lost for 5 games in which it drew 4 and won 1 and it is worth noting that the team scored at most 1 goal in 6 of its last 8 games in this type of situation, having the third defense less leaked in this type of situation, being a very compact team and leaving few spaces away from home. For the confrontation with Freiburg, coach Manuel Baum will not be able to count on Max and Heller, both due to suspension.

Confirmed Lineup: Andreas Luthe, Kevin Danso, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, Martin Hinteregger, Jonathan Schmid, Rani Khedira, Daniel Baier, Caiuby, Jan Morávek, Marco Richter, Alfreð Finnbogason.
Coach: M. Weinzierl.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Freiburg vs Augsburg match, on 12 May 2018, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Under 3,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Freiburg vs Augsburg on 12 May 2018 will be played at Freiburg im Breisgau, Schwarzwald-Stadion.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Freiburg Augsburg match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Freiburg at with 50% of the tips.

 

Bundesliga - 2017/2018

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 45.42%
  • Draws 27.12%
  • Away team wins 27.45%
  • Over 1.5 78.76%
  • Over 2.5 51.96%
  • Over 3.5 30.72%
  • Goals 855
  • Goals /match 2.79
  • Goals /match home 1.6
  • Goals /match away 1.19
  • Both teams score 54.9%
  • Goals after 80' 15.09%
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