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Borussia Dortmund Mainz 05 betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match will be Dortmund win. It’s true that the home team receives an "enemy" who urgently needs points to move away from the relegation zone, but the home team has a higher quality squad and should try the most to win to reach second place on the league table. Thus, it’s expectable that Dortmund will put their favoritism on the pitch and have the best score chances.
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Preview
Borussia Dortmund and Mainz 05 face at Signal‑Iduna‑Park, in a match for the 33th round of the Bundesliga. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 12‑12‑2017, Borussia Dortmund got an away win by (0‑2). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 4 wins in the last 4 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 27‑08‑2016, in a match for the Bundesliga, Borussia Dortmund won by (2‑1). The goals of the match were scored by P. Aubameyang (17' and 89' ), for Borussia Dortmund, and by Y. Muto (90' ), for Mainz 05. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Dortmund

After 15 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses, the home team is in the 2nd position, havinf won 57 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Werder Bremen by (1‑1), after in the previous match they have won (4‑0) at home, against Bayer Leverkusen. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 22 conceded; against 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 31 goals scored and 20 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Borussia Dortmund has a record of 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 21 points out of 30 possible.

They haven’t lost any of the last 9 home matches for this competition. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 1‑0 (6 out of 16 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 11 of the last 16 for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 10 of their 32 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 16 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 8 of their 19 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

Dortmund comes for this match after an away draw, by 1-1, against Werder Bremen. Like the "enemy" of this match, the home team must play a 4-3-3 tactical system to take advantage of progress on the pitch through short passes. In any case, it’s expectable that Dortmund will take a more offensive stance, bearing in mind that it holds a higher-quality squad. The Dortmund coach won’t count on Michy Batshuayi, Sebastian Rode, Erik Durm and Dan-Axel Zagadou for being injured.

Confirmed Lineup: Roman Bürki, Łukasz Piszczek, Manuel Akanji, Sokratis, Ömer Toprak, Julian Weigl, Mario Götze, Christian Pulišić, Jadon Sancho, Marco Reus, Maximilian Philipp.
Coach: E. Terzic.

Analysis Mainz 05

The away team is currently in the 14th position of the league, with 33 points won, after 8 wins, 9 draws and 15 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Augsburg, by (2‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against RB Leipzig, by (3‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 5 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 29 conceded; against 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 23 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Mainz 05 has a record of 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 30 possible. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 14 of the last 16 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 32 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 21 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Mainz comes motivated for this match after a 3-0 win at home against Leipzig: De Blasis, Maxim and Baku scored the winning goals. One of the main valences of the visiting team is how they manage to create danger almost always when they attack the lines, as well as the task played by the players in recovering the ball possession. The visiting team usually plays on a tactical system in 4-3-3, favoring a faster playing style. In this drawing, the three players responsible for launching panic on the opposing defense are Muto, De Blasis and Oztunali. The coach of Mainz won’t count on Emil Berggreen, Suat Serdar, Niko Bungert and Leon Balogun for being injured.

Confirmed Lineup: Florian Müller, Daniel Brosinski, Abdou Diallo, Stefan Bell, Alexander Hack, Nigel de Jong, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Ridle Baku, Levin Öztunali, Pablo De Blasis, Yoshinori Muto.
Coach: B. Henriksen.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Dortmund vs Mainz 05 match, on 5 May 2018, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Dortmund wins ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Dortmund vs Mainz 05 on 5 May 2018 will be played at Dortmund, SIGNAL IDUNA PARK.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Dortmund Mainz 05 match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Dortmund at with 95% of the tips.

 

Bundesliga - 2017/2018

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 45.42%
  • Draws 27.12%
  • Away team wins 27.45%
  • Over 1.5 78.76%
  • Over 2.5 51.96%
  • Over 3.5 30.72%
  • Goals 855
  • Goals /match 2.79
  • Goals /match home 1.6
  • Goals /match away 1.19
  • Both teams score 54.9%
  • Goals after 80' 15.09%
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