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Nice vs Montpellier

Nice
Nice
  • 1 - 0
  • Played

Montpellier

Preview:
Nice and Montpellier meet at Allianz Riviera, in a match for the 19th round of the Ligue 1. Oddly enough, the head‑to‑head record favours Montpellier: in the last 9 matches they won 6, tied 2 and lost 1. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 5th and 13th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 16th best team in home matches and the 15th best in away matches.

Analysis of Nice

The home team is currently in the 5th position of the league, with 26 points won, after 7 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against PSG, by (0‑3). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Reims, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 16 points in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 13 conceded, against 10 points won at their stadium, with 13 goals scored and 10 conceded. In their last match, for the Coupe de la Ligue, they got an away loss against Guingamp by (4‑3), after a penalty shootout. In the last 8 home league matches Nice has a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 24 possible. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches). There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 6 of the last 8 for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 9 of their 18 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 9 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 10 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

In this match the coach will not be able to count on Traoré, Ricardo Pereira, Plea, Le Bihan and Pouplin, who are all injured. As their opponents in this round, Nice prefers to attack through the centre, controlling ball possession using short passes. They don’t usually create many goal opportunities, but they make good use of the few they create through offensive efficiency. However, against stronger teams they prefer using counterattacks.

Confirmed Lineup: Y. Cardinale, M. Bodmer, P. Baysse, O. Boscagli, M. Le Marchand, J. Pied, H. Ben Arfa, V. Koziello, N. Mendy, N. Hult, V. Germain.
Coach: C. Puel.

Analysis of Montpellier

The away team is currently in the 13th position of the league, with 22 points won, after 6 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Olympique Marseille, by (2‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Guingamp, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 7 points in away matches and 15 points at their stadium, with 14 goals scored and 14 goals conceded at home, against 8 goals scored and 10 conceded in away matches. In the last 8 away league matches Montpellier has a record of 1 win, 4 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 24 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 4 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 18 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 19 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 7 of their 20 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

Montpellier comes to this match motivated, after a 2-1 home win over Guingamp. Lasne, Marveaux and Jourdren are in doubt, due to injuries. Ninga, Yatabaré and Boudebouz are the offensive references of the away team and offer their teammates many offensive solutions. In the midfield Montpellier should play with Sanson, Martin and Dabo, using ball possession to control the match and attack through the centre.

Confirmed Lineup: L. Pionnier, Hilton, M. Deplagne, D. Congré, R. Bensebaini, W. Rémy, M. Sanson, R. Boudebouz, J. Saihi, J. Martin, C. Ninga.
Coach: F. Hantz.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario is that Montpellier won’t lose. The home team is in a better position in the league table and seems to have more arguments in this match, particularly the support of their fans. Therefore, Nice should keep up the good results they have had at home so far, which means they are likely to, at the very least, avoid losing.
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Ligue 1 - 2015/2016

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 42.11%
  • Draws 28.42%
  • Away team wins 29.47%
  • Over 1.5 72.11%
  • Over 2.5 44.21%
  • Over 3.5 25%
  • Goals 960
  • Goals /match 2.53
  • Goals /match home 1.44
  • Goals /match away 1.09
  • Both teams score 48.42%
  • Goals after 80' 16.77%
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