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Caen VS Lille

Caen vs Lille

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Caen and Lille face at Stade Michel d'Ornano, in a match for the 20th round of the Ligue 1. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 27‑10‑2018, Lille got a home win by (1‑0). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 3 wins in the last 3 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 13‑01‑2018, in a match for the Ligue 1, Lille won by (0‑1). The only goal of the match was scored by N. Pépé (43' ). Although this is a match between 16th and 2nd of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 13th best in home matches and the 5th best in away matches.

Analysis of Caen

After 3 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses, the home team is in the 16th position, havinf won 18 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Reims by (2‑2), after in the previous match they have won (2‑1) at home, against Toulouse. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since they have won 8 points in away matches, with 9 goals scored and 14 conceded, against 10 points won at their stadium, with 10 goals scored and 11 conceded. They come to this match after a away win against Red Star by (0‑1). For the league, Caen won 10 points out of 27 possible points, after 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the last 9 home matches. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (4 out of 9 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 19 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Caen comes to this game with a 0-1 away victory over Red Star in a game to count for the French Cup. In the last game for the championship, the home team registered a 2-2 draw against the Stade Reims. In this home game, coach Fabien Marcadal should keep the team in 4-2-3-1, benefiting from the defensive organization and the counter-attacks, exploiting the opponent's back in the best possible way. Enzo Crivelli is the home team's highlight with 4 goals and 1 assist. For this game the coach can not count on Oniangue and Genevois, both with physical problems.

Confirmed Lineup: B. Samba, F. Guilbert, P. Baysse, A. Djiku, Y. Armougom, S. Khaoui, I. Diomandé, F. Fajr, E. Crivelli, C. Ninga, C. Beauvue.
Coach: F. Mercadal.

Analysis of Lille

The away team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 34 points won, after 10 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Nîmes, by (2‑3). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Toulouse, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 13 points in away matches and 21 points at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 8 goals conceded at home, against 10 goals scored and 11 conceded in away matches. In their last match, for the Coupe de France, they got a home win against Sochaux by (1‑0). In the last 9 away league matches Lille has a record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, so they have won 13 points out of 27 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 4 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 19 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 11 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 7 of their 13 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Lille arrives at this game with a 1-0 home victory against Sochaux, thus advancing to the next round of the French Cup. However, we point out that the away team was defeated by Toulouse in the last round of the French championship. Usually coach Christophe Galtier plays in 4-2-3-1 benefiting ball possession and the attacks by the aisles: Thiago Maia is the great responsible for marking the rhythms of game. However, Nicolas Pépé is Lille's top scorer with 12 goals scored. Apparently the manager just can not count on Rui Fonte and Xeka due to injury.

Confirmed Lineup: M. Maignan, A. Soumaoro, M. Çelik, José Fonte, Y. Koné, J. Ikoné, Thiago Mendes, Thiago Maia, Rafael Leão, N. Pépé, J. Bamba.
Coach: C. Galtier.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match will be Lille not to lose. We admit that this match will be very disputed, with some moments of the game closed, however, it is expected that the away side will have more initiative in the game due to its collective quality. Even playing at home, Caen does not have enough weapons to beat this opponent. Taking into account all these factors, betting in favor of the '' Draw No Bet of Lille '' is a good option.
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

Match Odds 66 Place your bet
Lille 78%
Caen 6%
The Draw 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals 8 Place your bet
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Half Time 10 Place your bet
Caen 20%
The Draw 35%
Lille 45%
First Half Goals 6 Place your bet
Under 0.5 Goals 0% 2.5
Over 0.5 Goals 100%
Over/Under 1.5 Goals 14 Place your bet
Under 1.5 Goals 0% 3
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over/Under 3.5 Goals 3 Place your bet
Under 3.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over/Under 0.5 Goals 3 Place your bet
Under 0.5 Goals 0% 8.6
Over 0.5 Goals 100%
Over/Under 5.5 Goals 1 Place your bet
Under 5.5 Goals 100%
Over 5.5 Goals 0% 29
Both teams to Score? 21 Place your bet
No 19%
Yes 81%
First Half Goals 1.5 3 Place your bet
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Under 1.5 Goals 33%
Note: On the graphics, the lay Tips were converted to Back on the other choices of that market.

Note: Listing of Tips made only in contests available at the Online Betting Academy.

Forum comments


Ligue 1 - 2018/2019

  • 76% 288 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 43.06%
  • Draws 28.82%
  • Away team wins 28.13%
  • Over 1.5 70.83%
  • Over 2.5 46.53%
  • Over 3.5 25%
  • Goals 720
  • Goals /match 2.5
  • Goals /match home 1.43
  • Goals /match away 1.07
  • Both teams score 48.96%
  • Goals after 80' 19.58%
View all


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