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Croatia VS Wales


Preview
Croatia and Wales meet at Stadion Gradski vrt, in a match for this stage of the EC Qualification (Qualifying Round). There is no record of official head‑to‑heads between these two teams in the last 3 years. The last time they met, on 26‑03‑2013, the match ended with the final score: Wales (1‑2) Croatia. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis of Croatia

After 1 win and 1 loss, the home team comes to this 3rd round in the 3rd position of Group E, with 3 points won. In the previous round, they lost in an away match against Hungary by (2‑1), after they have won in their first group stage by (2‑1) at home against Azerbaijan. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in away matches; against 9 wins and 6 draws at their stadium. Croatia has won 8 and tied 2 of the last 10 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 6 times, but have turned the score around in 4.

The Croatian national team receive the national team of Wales. Both teams have the same number of points in the competition, and must win to see who will get even closer to the qualification. Croatia will have the home factor in their favor and that will certainly help a lot for the Croatians to come out with the win. They are aware that they need to do their homework if they want to dream about something else in the competition. It will not be an easy confrontation, but the support of their fans will be fundamental and will give an advantage over the opponent. In their last game, the Croatian national team were defeated by Hungary 2-1.

Confirmed Lineup: D. Livaković, D. Vida, B. Barišić, D. Lovren, T. Jedvaj, J. Brekalo, L. Modrić, I. Perišić, M. Brozović, M. Kovačić, A. Kramarić.

Analysis of Wales

The away team comes to this 3rd round of Group and after a win in their debut in this group stage, against Slovakia, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 11 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 23 goals scored and 14 conceded. Their last away match was for the Friendlies and ended in a loss by (1‑0) against Albania. In the last 8 away matches Wales has won 3, tied 2 and lost 3. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 4 of the last 8 matches have ended with Under 1,5 goals and 8 out of 8 have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

The Welsh will have a difficult task ahead of them, which is to beat the Croatians. It is clear that it will not be an easy match for either team, as they are a bit on the same footing. It is a match that will be decided by who make less mistakes, but the Welsh are aware that the Croatians have a bit of the advantage for playing at home. But the visitors will go to play from equal to equal and to conquer the victory, therefore another result does not interest them. In their last clash, Wales were defeated Slovakia 1-0.

Confirmed Lineup: W. Hennessey, C. Mepham, B. Davies, J. Lawrence, M. Smith, H. Wilson, D. James, W. Vaulks, C. Roberts, J. Allen, G. Bale.

Betting suggestion:

Fighting for a place within the qualifying zone, Croatia are looking forward to a good result in this round. The difficulties will have to appear, since they will face a qualified team, therefore it will be important to make the best effort. Wales are not expected to have an easy life in this game, but they are confident that they can play well in order to fight for at least an away draw. Croatia have the advantage of playing next to their supporters, so they come as the favorite for the duel. For the aforementioned fact, we will bet on the victory of Croatia until the end of the match.
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

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EC Qualification - 2020

  • 95% 250 / 262 Games

  • Home team wins 50.8%
  • Draws 14.4%
  • Away team wins 34.8%
  • Over 1.5 85.2%
  • Over 2.5 61.6%
  • Over 3.5 36.8%
  • Goals 801
  • Goals /match 3.2
  • Goals /match home 1.82
  • Goals /match away 1.38
  • Both teams score 42%
  • Goals after 80' 16.48%
View all
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