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Guimarães VS Ventspils

Preview
Vitória Guimarães and Ventspils meet at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, in a 2nd leg match for the UEFA Europa League (3rd Qualifying Round). Vitória Guimarães got an away win by (0‑3) in the previous 1st leg match. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis of Vitória Guimarães

The home team comes to this 2nd leg match with an advantage of 3 goals, after the (0‑3) away win in the 1st leg. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses in away matches; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. Vitória Guimarães has won 8, tied 1 and lost 1 of the last 10 home matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches.

Vitória de Guimarães comes motivated for this match after a 0-3 win at Ventspils, in a match for the 1st leg of the Europa League 3rd round: the team's goals were signed by Davidson, Pepe and Joseph Amoah. The coach Ivo Vieira should favor the maintenance of the ball possession and the organized attacks, always with the aim of not being unbalanced. Davidson, a forward player, is a very fast and strong player in carrying the ball into attack. Absent from this match will be Ola John, Aziz and André André, all with physical problems.

Confirmed Lineup: João Miguel , Pedrão, E. Tapsoba, F. Sacko, F. Hanin, Rochinha, Almoatasembellah Ali Mohamed, Pêpê Rodrigues, J. Amoah, Davidson, Alexandre Guedes.

Analysis of Ventspils

After the home loss in the 1st leg, the away team comes to this 2nd leg with a disadvantage of 3 goals and the hard task of having to come back from a negative result in an away match. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 19 goals scored and 34 conceded; against 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 28 goals scored and 14 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Ventspils has won 2, tied 1 and lost 7. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 30 of the last 43 matches have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Ventspils comes for this match after a defeat, by 0-3, against Vitória de Guimarães. To reach this stage of the Europe League, Latvians have overtaken Teuta and Gzira United. In this second away match, coach Dejan Vukicevic should benefit from the low middle block and counterattacks, making the most of the space in the opponent's back. Midfielder Dové Womé is largely responsible for creating and organizing the offensive process. There are no major absences for this match.

Confirmed Lineup: V. Kudrjavcevs, J. Alcenat, G. Mtchedlishvili, Hélio Baptista, R. Obuobi, A. Mamah, G. Palavandishvili, I. Stuglis, T. Aiyegun, M. Sergiychuk, Lucas Villela.

Betting suggestion:

Given what we discussed earlier, the possibility of a match with few goals is great. Admittedly, Vitória de Guimarães has a squad with more individual alternatives; however, is ahead of the tie and is therefore expectable they’ll use a more cautious strategy. On the other hand, Ventspils should try to turnaround the disadvantage in the tie but face a very competent team. So, we admit to a very close and balanced match, making a bet in favor of the “Under 3.5 goals” market a good option.
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

Markets
Match Odds 23 Place your bet
FK Ventspils 4%
Guimaraes 87%
The Draw 9%
Over/Under 2.5 goals 13 Place your bet
Under 2.5 Goals 8%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Half Time 13 Place your bet
FK Ventspils 15%
The Draw 4%
Guimaraes 81%
First Half Goals 6 Place your bet
Over 0.5 Goals 100%
Under 0.5 Goals 0%
Over/Under 1.5 Goals 1 Place your bet
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Under 1.5 Goals 0%
Over/Under 3.5 Goals 9 Place your bet
Over 3.5 Goals 11%
Under 3.5 Goals 89%
Over/Under 4.5 Goals 6 Place your bet
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Under 4.5 Goals 100%
Over/Under 0.5 Goals 4 Place your bet
Over 0.5 Goals 100%
Under 0.5 Goals 0%
Over/Under 5.5 Goals 1 Place your bet
Over 5.5 Goals 0%
Under 5.5 Goals 100%
Both teams to Score? 10 Place your bet
Yes 40%
No 60%
Half With Most Goals 2 Place your bet
2nd Half 0%
1st Half 50%
Tie 50%
Second Half 0%
First Half Goals 1.5 6 Place your bet
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Under 1.5 Goals 33%
Note: On the graphics, the lay Tips were converted to Back on the other choices of that market.

Tips
Note: Listing of Tips made only in contests available at the Online Betting Academy.

Forum comments

 

UEFA Europa League - 2019/2020

  • 74% 338 / 458 Games

  • Home team wins 49.7%
  • Draws 20.71%
  • Away team wins 29.59%
  • Over 1.5 75.74%
  • Over 2.5 54.73%
  • Over 3.5 30.47%
  • Goals 932
  • Goals /match 2.76
  • Goals /match home 1.62
  • Goals /match away 1.14
  • Both teams score 45.27%
  • Goals after 80' 19.31%
View all

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