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Ventspils VS Luftëtari

Preview
Ventspils and Luftëtari Gjirokastër face at Olimpiskā centra Ventspils Stadionā, in a match for this stage of the UEFA Europa League (1st Qualifying Round). These two teams have never met before, so this will be the first head‑to‑head between them. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Ventspils presents significant differences between home and away results.

Analysis of Ventspils

The home team plays its first match in this edition of the UEFA Europa League with the intention of using the home advantage to get a positive result. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 38 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 16 conceded. They come to this match after a away win against BetLanes by (1‑2). Ventspils has won 2, tied 4 and lost 4 of the last 10 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 14 matches, and have only turned the score around in 1.

The Ventspils side reach this match with a 1-2 win over BetLanes in a Latvian Cup game: the goals were scored by Kolesovs and Mandzhgaladze. Recall that the locals currently occupy the fifth position of the Latvian championship with 22 points added. In this first game against Luftetari, coach Dejan Vukicevic is expected to play in 4-2-3-1 favoring ball possession and attacks by the runners: Rugins and Tidenbergs are expected to fill the team's wings. Recall that Ventspils presents great competence in aerial play and defensive recovery. It seems that there are no absences for this first-leg game.

Confirmed Lineup: M. Uvarenko, V. Jagodinskis, A. Mamah, Hélio Baptista, M. Neziri, A. Alfa, G. Mandzhgaladze, T. Aiyegun, R. Rugins, A. Akinyemi, V. Pavlov.

Analysis of Luftëtari Gjirokastër

The team plays its first match in this edition of the UEFA Europa League with the intention of getting a positive away result. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 19 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 9 conceded. In their last match, for the Club Friendlies, they got an away tie against Krško by (1‑1). In the last 10 away matches Luftëtari Gjirokastër has won 4, tied 4 and lost 2. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches.

Luftetari, the Albanian team, arrives at this stage of the Europa League thanks to the third place in the league, after finished the competition with 59 points added. Still, it is important to point out that the away team is far from being a successful team in its country. In this away game coach Hasan Lika should play in his usual tactical system privileging the mid-low block and counterattacks, thus exploring the space on the opponent's back. The Albanian Eduart Rrica is the most important player in the game style of Luftetari, being this player of great technical and tactical quality. For this game the coach can count on all his players.

Confirmed Lineup: H. Bukovski, O. Rapa, L. Liçaj, N. Janičić, Jackson, V. Milosavljev, B. Ramadani, A. Aleksi, E. Vucaj, V. Shkurtaj, D. Bregu.

Betting suggestion:

Given what we discussed earlier, the possibility of a victory of the home team is very high. Ventspils should push Luftetari to their midfield, dominating ball possession and creating the best chances to score goals. On the other hand, the away team should choose only to counter-attack, a transition in which they should create little danger. Taking into account all these factors, risking in the triumph of the locals is an excellent option.
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

Markets
Match Odds 26 Place your bet
The Draw 15%
3.6
FK Ventspils 73%
2.46
Luftetari 12%
3.8
Over/Under 2.5 goals 7 Place your bet
Under 2.5 Goals 29%
1.97
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
2.09
Half Time 2 Place your bet
FK Ventspils 25%
2.92
Luftetari 0% 4.3
The Draw 75%
2.22
Over/Under 1.5 Goals 4 Place your bet
Under 1.5 Goals 0% 3.85
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
1.34
Over/Under 3.5 Goals 3 Place your bet
Under 3.5 Goals 100%
1.38
Over 3.5 Goals 0% 3.72
Over/Under 4.5 Goals 1 Place your bet
Over 4.5 Goals 0% 7.6
Under 4.5 Goals 100%
1.14
Over/Under 0.5 Goals 6 Place your bet
Under 0.5 Goals 0% 12
Over 0.5 Goals 100%
1.08
Both teams to Score? 3 Place your bet
Yes 67%
1.84
No 33%
2.18
Note: On the graphics, the lay Tips were converted to Back on the other choices of that market.

Tips
 

UEFA Europa League - 2018/2019

  • 74% 338 / 458 Games

  • Home team wins 50.3%
  • Draws 22.49%
  • Away team wins 27.22%
  • Over 1.5 74.85%
  • Over 2.5 48.82%
  • Over 3.5 27.51%
  • Goals 901
  • Goals /match 2.67
  • Goals /match home 1.64
  • Goals /match away 1.03
  • Both teams score 46.75%
  • Goals after 80' 18.98%
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