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Malmö VS Sarpsborg

Malmö FF and Sarpsborg 08 face at Swedbank Stadion, in a match for this stage of the UEFA Europa League (Group Stage). In this match the home advantage may play an important role, since Sarpsborg 08 presents significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis of Malmö FF

After 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss, the home team is currently in the 2nd position, with 4 points won. In the last match, they have tied (1‑1) in an away match against Sarpsborg 08, after in the previous round they have won (2‑0) at home against Beşiktaş. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 26 goals scored and 11 conceded; against 9 wins and 6 draws at their stadium, with 32 goals scored and 8 conceded. In their last match, for the Allsvenskan, they got an away win against IFK Göteborg by (0‑3). In the last 10 home matches Malmö FF has won 6 and tied 4. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 4 of the last 5 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 4 times, but have turned the score around in 2.

Malmo has never been able to win a European title. The most renowned campaign in its history is the 1978/79 Champions League runners-up, as well as having 20 Allsvenskan titles. The team has been making a relatively good campaign in the Europa League in the current season, having won four of the nine points it played so far, thus being two points behind the first placed. Observing Malmo's home performance, it is possible to emphasize that the team does not lose for sixteen games, counting several competitions, besides having scored more than 1.5 goals in six of the last seven games. We believe that in this match, playing against a technically weaker opponent, Malmo will be able to score again and come out victorious.

Confirmed Lineup: J. Dahlin, L. Nielsen, A. Vindheim, R. Bengtsson, B. Safari, S. Rieks, Anders Christiansen, A. Traustason, F. Bachirou, M. Antonsson, M. Rosenberg.
Coach: U. Rösler.

Analysis of Sarpsborg 08

The away team is currently in the 3rd position, with 4 points won, after 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss. In the penultimate round, they have won a home match against Genk by (3‑1). In the last round, they have tied a home match against Malmö FF by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 22 conceded; against 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 31 goals scored and 16 conceded. In their last match, for the Eliteserien, they got an away tie against Vålerenga by (0‑0). In the last 5 UEFA Europa League away matches Sarpsborg 08 has a record of 2 wins and 3 losses. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 20 of the last 30 matches have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In the last 18 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 7 of their 20 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Sarpsborg is a Norwegian team that has never won a Tippeligaen (1st Division of Norwegian football) title, but has already been runner-up to Tippeligaen in the distant 1947/48 season. The team comes in third place in Group I in the current season of the Europa League, after three rounds where it lost the first away game to Besiktas 3-1, then beat the strong Genk at home by 3-1 and drew against Malmo at home by 1-1. Now Sarpsborg will face Malmo, a team that has conquered great results in the home matches, so I believe Sarpsborg will lose this game.

Confirmed Lineup: A. Vasyutin, J. Horn, J. Tamm, J. Thomassen, A. Askar, J. Tveita, O. Halvorsen, M. Lund Nielsen, G. Vetti, P. Mortensen, R. Muhammed.
Coach: G. Bakke.

Betting suggestion:

In this game between Malmo and Sarpsborg, we believe the home team will have a great advantage, because Malmo do not lose at home there are sixteen matches. In addition, Malmo conquered a draw in the game played at the Sarpsborg's stadium and now next to its fans the team should have the strength to win. Therefore, our bet for this game will be "Malmo's Victory".
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

Match Odds 79 Place your bet
Sarpsborg 5%
Malmo FF 94%
The Draw 1%
Over/Under 2.5 goals 8 Place your bet
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Half Time 6 Place your bet
Malmo FF 83%
The Draw 17%
Sarpsborg 0% 6.8
First Half Goals 9 Place your bet
Under 0.5 Goals 0% 2.62
Over 0.5 Goals 100%
Over/Under 1.5 Goals 9 Place your bet
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Under 1.5 Goals 0% 3.5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals 4 Place your bet
Under 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over/Under 4.5 Goals 2 Place your bet
Under 4.5 Goals 100%
Over 4.5 Goals 0% 10
Over/Under 0.5 Goals 3 Place your bet
Under 0.5 Goals 0% 11
Over 0.5 Goals 100%
Both teams to Score? 5 Place your bet
Yes 80%
No 20%
First Half Goals 1.5 1 Place your bet
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Under 1.5 Goals 0% 1.33
Note: On the graphics, the lay Tips were converted to Back on the other choices of that market.

Note: Listing of Tips made only in contests available at the Online Betting Academy.

Forum comments


UEFA Europa League - 2018/2019

  • 100% 458 / 458 Games

  • Home team wins 49.34%
  • Draws 22.49%
  • Away team wins 28.17%
  • Over 1.5 74.02%
  • Over 2.5 49.34%
  • Over 3.5 28.38%
  • Goals 1225
  • Goals /match 2.67
  • Goals /match home 1.62
  • Goals /match away 1.06
  • Both teams score 47.6%
  • Goals after 80' 18.04%
View all


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