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Preview:
Lazio and Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk meet at Stadio Olimpico, in a match for this stage of the UEFA Europa League (Group Stage). Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis of Lazio

After 3 wins and 1 draw, the home team is currently in the 1st position, with 10 points won. In the last match, they have won (0‑2) in an away match against Rosenborg, after in the previous round they have won (3‑1) at home against Rosenborg. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 31 conceded; against 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses at their stadium, with 35 goals scored and 14 conceded. They come to this match after a home draw against Palermo by (1‑1). Lazio has won 8, tied 1 and lost 1 of the last 10 home matches.

They haven’t lost any of the last 4 matches for this competition. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 3 of the last 4 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 4 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 23 of the last 27 have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 11 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 7 of their 20 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

After the last away win, they have confirmed their great form moment and therefore wish to maintain this good level in the Europa League, with a home win against Dnipro. Coach Stefano Pioli cannot count on Keita, suspended after a red card in the last match. Pioli has had to deal with a few hard issues, like his problems with Candreva, so there are internal problems to work out. In the Europa League the team has done well, but in the Italian league results have been disappointing.

Lazio has been preparing this match behind closed doors, but there will be at least one obvious change, the already mentioned absence of Keita. Pioli has made quite a few changes to the team this season, but that is unlikely to affect the team negatively. They have done well so far in this competition and are likely to keep up the good moment. Moreover, Klose, a forward of well proven quality, is once again available.

Confirmed Lineup: E. Berisha, S. Gentiletti, A. Konko, Maurício, Ş. Radu, M. Parolo, D. Cataldi, A. Candreva, A. Matri, M. Klose, R. Kishna.
Coach: S. Inzaghi.

Analysis of Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk

The away team is currently in the 3rd position, with 4 points won, after 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses. In the penultimate round, they have lost a home match agaisnt Saint‑Étienne by (0‑1). In the last round, they have lost an away match against Saint‑Étienne by (3‑0). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in away matches, with 30 goals scored and 9 conceded; against 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 22 conceded. In their last match, for the Premier League, they got an away tie against Chornomorets by (0‑0). In the last 10 away matches Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk has won 7, tied 2 and lost 1. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 3 of the last 4 matches for this competition.

Without many expectations, Dnipro travels to Italy to try to do well against Lazio, since they are aware that a good result would be crucial for their qualification chances. Unlike Lazio, Dnipro has done well in the national league so far, only behind two other teams. Moreover, they have been more stable in their strategy and formation, so they are likely to use the usual 4-2-3-1, or a more modern 4-5-1. However, given the importance of this match, Myron Markevych try to make a few changes to surprise the Italians, particularly since Rotan, the captain, is suspended.

Confirmed Lineup: D. Boyko, Douglas, A. Fedetskiy, P. Gueye, D. Chygrynskiy, Danilo, Léo Matos, Bruno Gama, R. Bezus, Y. Seleznyov, Matheus Nascimento.
Coach: M. Markevych.

Betting suggestion:

Lazio has a far superior squad and is therefore the favourite. The home team players are of a superior technical quality and they also have the home advantage, so the tendency is that they will win the match, so the bet in favour of the Italians seems to be of great value.
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NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

Markets:
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Tips : Lazio vs Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk

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UEFA Europa League - 2015/2016

  • 100% 475 / 475 Games

  • Home team wins 45.47%
  • Draws 24.63%
  • Away team wins 29.89%
  • Over 1.5 70.53%
  • Over 2.5 47.37%
  • Over 3.5 25.89%
  • Goals 1220
  • Goals /match 2.57
  • Goals /match home 1.49
  • Goals /match away 1.08
  • Both teams score 45.05%
  • Goals after 80' 17.21%
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