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Krasnodar VS Valencia


Preview
Krasnodar and Valencia face , in a 2nd leg match for the UEFA Europa League (8th Finals), after the (2‑1) home win by Valencia in the 1st leg match. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis of Krasnodar

Despite the 1 goal disadvantage from the 1st leg match, the home team has the advantage of having scored 1 goal in the away first leg match. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 19 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 11 conceded. In their last match, for the Premier League, they got a home tie against Orenburg by (2‑2). In the last 4 UEFA Europa League home matches Krasnodar has a record of 3 wins and 1 draw.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 4 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 9 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 9 matches for this competition. In 9 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times, but have turned the score around in 3.

Krasnodar come to this match with a 2-2 home draw against Gazovik, in the match for the Russian Championship. Despite losing 2-1 in the first leg against Valencia, the Russian club scored a goal that left the tie entirely open. The hosts have great competence in their game model, that is, in maintaining ball possession and finishing. The offensive midfielder Viktor Claesson is the team's highlight, with 9 goals scored. For this match coach Murad Musaev can not count on Kabore and Martynovich, both injured.

Confirmed Lineup: M. Safonov, S. Petrov, J. Fjóluson, C. Ramírez, U. Spajić, Wamberto, Y. Gazinskiy, V. Claesson, K. Olsson, M. Pereyra, Ari.
Coach: M. Musaev.

Analysis of Valencia

The away team comes to this 2nd leg match with an advantage of 1 goal, but has suffered 1 goal at home in the 1st leg. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 11 wins and 4 draws at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 6 conceded. In their last match, for the Primera División, they got an away win against Girona by (2‑3). In the last 10 away matches Valencia has won 3, tied 4 and lost 3. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 4 times but have turned the score around in 2.

Valencia come to this game motivated as a result of the 2-3 victory over Girona, registering the fourth straight win in official matches: the team's goals were signed by Guedes, Torres and Parejo. Note that the Spaniards have a short lead on this tie. Usually coach Marcelino Toral outlines a very daring tactical system, organized in the 4-4-2, with Gameiro and Rodrigo being the most offensive men on the team: the latter player is the best scorer with 11 goals scored. On the other hand, midfielder Dani Parejo is largely responsible for creating and organizing the offensive process. Out of this game by suspension is Roncaglia.

Confirmed Lineup: Neto, José Gayá, Gabriel Paulista, M. Diakhaby, F. Coquelin, D. Wass, G. Kondogbia, Carlos Soler, D. Cheryshev, Santi Mina, Rubén Sobrino.
Coach: Marcelino.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this game will be the existence of a few goals. This match puts in the field a Valencia that go through a moment of confidence of the season and a Krasnodar that needs to win to advance in Liga Europa. Despite presenting an interesting offensive sector, Krasnodar have shown some flaws in the defensive line, having conceded at least one goal in the last five games. Taking into account these factors, betting in favor of the goals in this game is of great value.
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

Markets
Match Odds 73 Place your bet
Valencia 52%
2.688
FK Krasnodar 29%
3.1
The Draw 19%
8.6
Over/Under 2.5 goals 25 Place your bet
Under 2.5 Goals 24%
7.7
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
2.05
Half Time 18 Place your bet
FK Krasnodar 28%
3.8
Valencia 36%
3.15
The Draw 36%
2.9
First Half Goals 12 Place your bet
Under 0.5 Goals 8%
3.05
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
1.4
Over/Under 1.5 Goals 15 Place your bet
Under 1.5 Goals 7%
4
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
1.33
Over/Under 3.5 Goals 4 Place your bet
Under 3.5 Goals 75%
1.39
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
3.5
Over/Under 4.5 Goals 2 Place your bet
Under 4.5 Goals 100%
1.14
Over 4.5 Goals 0% 7.6
Over/Under 0.5 Goals 6 Place your bet
Under 0.5 Goals 0% 13.5
Over 0.5 Goals 100%
1.071
Both teams to Score? 46 Place your bet
No 7%
2.3
Yes 93%
1.8
Half With Most Goals 6 Place your bet
1st Half 17%
5.3
2nd Half 83%
2.06
Second Half 0%
Tie 0% 6.5
First Half Goals 1.5 7 Place your bet
Over 1.5 Goals 43%
3
Under 1.5 Goals 57%
1.42
Penalty Taken? 1 Place your bet
Yes 0% 3.2
No 100%
1.3
Note: On the graphics, the lay Tips were converted to Back on the other choices of that market.

Tips
Note: Listing of Tips made only in contests available at the Online Betting Academy.

Forum comments

 

UEFA Europa League - 2018/2019

  • 97% 506 / 519 Games

  • Home team wins 49.6%
  • Draws 22.53%
  • Away team wins 27.87%
  • Over 1.5 73.72%
  • Over 2.5 50.2%
  • Over 3.5 28.85%
  • Goals 1352
  • Goals /match 2.67
  • Goals /match home 1.61
  • Goals /match away 1.06
  • Both teams score 47.43%
  • Goals after 80' 18.05%
View all

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