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Preview:
Basel and Fiorentina face at St. Jakob‑Park, in a match for this stage of the UEFA Europa League (Group Stage). The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Basel presents significant differences between home and away results.

Analysis of Basel

The home team is currently in the 1st position, with 9 points won, after 3 wins and 1 loss. In the penultimate round, they have lost a home match against Belenenses by (1‑2). In the last round, they have won an away match against Belenenses by (0‑2). This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in away matches; against 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses at their stadium. They come to this match after a away loss against St. Gallen by (2‑1). Basel has won 7, tied 1 and lost 2 of the last 10 home matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 4 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 21 of the last 30 matches have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 5 of their 15 matches, but have been able to turn the score around in 2. there are 3 periods that stand out in the last 13 home matches for all competitions: they have scored 9 of their 25 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have suffered 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (16'‑30') and 4 of their 11 goals between (76'‑90').

Basel comes to this match somewhat unmotivated, since they have lost the last 2 national league matches. However, in this Europa League they have done well and only need another win to confirm access to the next stage. Therefore, coach Urs Fischer should play offensively, seeking to serve forward Janko, best scorer of the team, with 13 goals scored so far this season.

Confirmed Lineup: G. Vailati, M. Lang, M. Suchý, B. Safari, T. Xhaka, Mohamed Elneny, J. Boëtius, B. Bjarnason, L. Zuffi, M. Janko, B. Embolo.
Coach: U. Fischer.

Analysis of Fiorentina

The away team is currently in the 2nd position, with 6 points won, after 2 wins and 2 losses. In the penultimate round, they have lost a home match against Lech Poznań by (1‑2). In the last round, they have won an away match against Lech Poznań by (0‑2). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in away matches, with 29 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses at their stadium, with 30 goals scored and 14 conceded. In their last match, for the Serie A, they got a home tie against Empoli by (2‑2). In the last 10 away matches Fiorentina has won 8 and lost 2. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 4 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 9 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 3 of their 6 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

As the home team, Fiorentina needs to win to confirm access to the next stage. But in case of a loss their chances of qualifying will be slim. Therefore, coach Paulo Sousa should take a few offensive chances, since any result other than a win will be negative. Croatian forward Kalinic stands out in this squad. He has scored another 2 goals against Empoli, increasing his total goals to 10 so far this season.

Confirmed Lineup: L. Sepe, G. Rodríguez, F. Roncaglia, D. Astori, Marcos Alonso, M. Badelj, J. Iličić, M. Vecino, Borja Valero, N. Kalinić, F. Bernardeschi.
Coach: Paulo Sousa.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario is that Fiorentina won’t lose. Although Basel has done well so far, the away team seems to have more arguments in this match. Therefore, the Italians should use their technical and tactical superiority to dominate and win this match.
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Tips : Basel vs Fiorentina

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UEFA Europa League - 2015/2016

  • 100% 475 / 475 Games

  • Home team wins 45.47%
  • Draws 24.63%
  • Away team wins 29.89%
  • Over 1.5 70.53%
  • Over 2.5 47.37%
  • Over 3.5 25.89%
  • Goals 1220
  • Goals /match 2.57
  • Goals /match home 1.49
  • Goals /match away 1.08
  • Both teams score 45.05%
  • Goals after 80' 17.21%
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