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Austria VS AEK

Preview
Austria Wien and AEK Athens face at Ernst‑Happel‑Stadion, in a match for this stage of the UEFA Europa League (Group Stage). The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Austria Wien presents significant differences between home and away results.

Analysis of Austria Wien

After 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, the home team is currently in the 3rd position, with 4 points won. In the last match, they have lost (5‑1) in an away match against Milan, after in the previous round they have won (1‑4) in an away match against Rijeka. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in away matches; against 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses at their stadium. They come to this match after a home draw against Salzburg by (1‑1). Austria Wien registers 1 draw and 3 losses in the last 4 home matches for the UEFA Europa League.

They haven’t won any of the last 4 home matches for this competition. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 9 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 9 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 58 of the last 68 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals and 45 out of 68 have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 5 of their 9 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

Austria Vienna enter the field knowing that only the victory will qualify them for the next phase of the Europa League, and for that they would still have to hope that Rijeka will not win their match against AC Milan. However, the team is not going through a good time, having registered only one victory in the last five matches. 
In the Austrian Championship, the team did not win for two rounds, and now ranks fifth among ten teams, having one of the most leaked defenses of the competition. This has been repeated, much worse, in the continental tournament, since it has the most leaked defense of Group D, with an average of 3.2 goals conceded per game. 
The coach has been alternating between 4-2-3-1 and 4-1-4-1, and is likely to keep Brazilian Pires as the benchmark in the offensive sector.

Confirmed Lineup: P. Pentz, A. Mohammed, M. Blauensteiner, T. Serbest, R. Holzhauser, T. Salamon, A. Alhassan, D. Prokop, K. Friesenbichler, Ismael Tajouri, Felipe Pires.

Analysis of AEK Athens

The away team is currently in the 2nd position, with 7 points won, after 1 win and 4 draws. In the penultimate round, they have tied a home match agaisnt Milan by (0‑0). In the last round, they have tied a home match against Rijeka by (2‑2). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 9 conceded; against 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 28 goals scored and 11 conceded. In their last match, for the Super League, they got an away win against Levadiakos by (0‑2). In the last 10 away matches AEK Athens has won 6, tied 3 and lost 1.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 4 draws in the last matches. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 25 of the last 62 matches have ended with Under 1,5 goals and 40 out of 62 have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 14 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

AEK needs only a draw to advance in the Europa League, and its record in this edition of the competition seems to help the team as it remains undefeated, accumulating a win and four draws. 
The team is going through a very positive moment, having been undefeated for nine matches, coming from three consecutive victories. The last of them was for the Greek Championship, where it now takes the lead, also having the second best defense and the second best attack. This is confirmed in parts in the continental tournament, having the second defense less leaked of Group D, but in compensation is the owner of the worst attack, with six goals scored in five games. 
The coach has often altered the team's tactical system, but should keep Christodoulopoulos in the starting eleven.

Confirmed Lineup: P. Tsintotas, O. Vranješ, D. Chygrynskiy, Hélder Lopes, Rodrigo Galo, M. Bakakis, L. Christodoulopoulos, K. Galanopoulos, André Simões, S. Araújo, M. Livaja.

Betting suggestion:

This clash puts in the field two teams that are not part of the European elite, but that usually carry out campaigns of prominence in their respective countries, although this season is not being one of the best for the Austrians. 
The last bout between these two teams was very balanced and also busy, finishing with a (2-2), with AEK reaching equality in the final minutes of the match. 
Now we are looking forward to an open and very disputed game, given that both teams have chances of qualifying. 
Thus, the draw seems to be a good betting option, but with favoritism for the Greeks, who are going through a better time.

NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

Markets
Match Odds 48 Place your bet
AEK Athens 48%
2.62
Austria Vienna 25%
3.65
The Draw 27%
3.6
Over/Under 2.5 goals 24 Place your bet
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
1.94
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
2.02
Half Time 7 Place your bet
The Draw 21%
2.3
Austria Vienna 43%
4
AEK Athens 36%
3.2
Over/Under 1.5 Goals 15 Place your bet
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
1.3
Under 1.5 Goals 7%
4
Over/Under 3.5 Goals 4 Place your bet
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
3.45
Under 3.5 Goals 75%
1.4
Over/Under 4.5 Goals 2 Place your bet
Under 4.5 Goals 100%
1.15
Over 4.5 Goals 0% 6.8
Over/Under 0.5 Goals 5 Place your bet
Over 0.5 Goals 80%
1.06
Under 0.5 Goals 20%
14
Over/Under 5.5 Goals 1 Place your bet
Under 5.5 Goals 100%
1.04
Over 5.5 Goals 0% 15.72
Both teams to Score? 21 Place your bet
No 14%
2.22
Yes 86%
1.77
Half With Most Goals 2 Place your bet
Tie 50%
3.6
2nd Half 0% 2.05
1st Half 50%
3.15
First Half Goals 1.5 3 Place your bet
Under 1.5 Goals 33%
1.44
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
3
First Half Goals 9 Place your bet
Under 0.5 Goals 11%
3
Over 0.5 Goals 89%
1.36
Note: On the graphics, the lay Tips were converted to Back on the other choices of that market.

Tips
Note: Listing of Tips made only in contests available at the Online Betting Academy.

Forum comments

 

UEFA Europa League - 2017/2018

  • 100% 473 / 473 Games

  • Home team wins 47.78%
  • Draws 23.26%
  • Away team wins 28.96%
  • Over 1.5 73.15%
  • Over 2.5 46.72%
  • Over 3.5 25.58%
  • Goals 1214
  • Goals /match 2.57
  • Goals /match home 1.5
  • Goals /match away 1.07
  • Both teams score 45.24%
  • Goals after 80' 16.06%
View all

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