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Napoli Benfica betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match will be the existence of some goals. This is a match between the two strongest teams in Group B, once that Napoli finished in 2nd position the previous Italian league, while Benfica won the Portuguese championship. Despite presenting an interesting offensive sector, Benfica has shown some flaws on the defensive line, once that they suffered at least one goal in 5 of the last 8 matches. On the other hand, Napoli plays at home and presents a withering attack. So, a bet in favor of goals in this match has great value.
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Preview
Napoli and Benfica face at Stadio San Paolo, in a match for this stage of the UEFA Champions League (Group Stage). The only recent head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 09‑08‑2013, and ended in a (2‑1) win by Napoli. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Napoli

The home team plays their second match in Group B, after the (1‑2) win in their first match for this group stage, against Dynamo Kyiv. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 13 wins and 2 draws at their stadium, with 46 goals scored and 8 conceded. They come to this match after a home win against Chievo by (2‑0). Napoli has won 10 of the last 10 home matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 51 of the last 57 have ended with Over 1,5 goals and 40 out of 57 have ended with Over 2,5 goals.

Napoli comes for this match after a win against Chievo, by 2-0, in a match counting for the Italian league: the goals were scored by Gabbiadini and Hamsik. Usually the coach Maurizio Sarri play in 4-3-3 privileging the ball possession and organized attacks: Hamsik is one of those responsible for inventing and creating the offending process of the team. It's important to note that Napoli has great expertise in defense-attack transition, in finishing and defensive dead balls. José Callejón is the best scorer of the home team with 5 goals. For this match the coach won't count only on Vlad Chiriches, player who is recovering from injury.

Confirmed Lineup: Pepe Reina, Elseid Hysaj, Faouzi Ghoulam, Albiol, Kalidou Koulibaly, Jorginho, Allan, Marek Hamšík, Dries Mertens, Arkadiusz Milik, José Callejón.
Coach: W. Mazzarri.

Analysis Benfica

The away team comes to this 2nd round of Group B after a draw in their debut in this group stage, against Beşiktaş, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 12 wins and 3 losses in away matches, with 31 goals scored and 11 conceded; against 10 wins and 5 draws at their stadium, with 32 goals scored and 11 conceded. In their last match, for the Primeira Liga, they got an away win against Chaves by (0‑2). In the last 10 away matches Benfica has won 8 and lost 2. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches.

Benfica comes motivated for this match after the triumph in Chaves ground, by 0-2, an opponent who hadn't lost in the Portuguese league: Mitroglou and Pizzi scored the goals of the team. In this away home match the coach Rui Vitoria must play in 4-5-1 favoring the median-low block and counterattacks, especially through the flanks. Mitroglou should be the most offensive reference of the visiting team, being the best scorer of Benfica with 4 scored goals. It's also important to note that playing away home Benfica has opted for a more cautious playing style, leaving aside the artistic note in their exhibitions. Apparently the coach still won't count on the injured Rafa, Danilo, Jardel, Samaris, Jonas and Jiménez.

Confirmed Lineup: Júlio César, André Almeida, Álex Grimaldo, Lisandro López, Victor Lindelöf, Nélson Semedo, Ljubomir Fejsa, André Horta, André Carrillo, Pizzi, Konstantinos Mitroglou.
Coach: R. Schmidt.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Napoli vs Benfica match, on 28 September 2016, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Over 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Napoli vs Benfica on 28 September 2016 will be played at Napoli, Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.

 

UEFA Champions League - 2016/2017

  • 100% 217 / 217 Games

  • Home team wins 46.08%
  • Draws 27.65%
  • Away team wins 26.27%
  • Over 1.5 78.34%
  • Over 2.5 51.61%
  • Over 3.5 29.95%
  • Goals 613
  • Goals /match 2.82
  • Goals /match home 1.7
  • Goals /match away 1.12
  • Both teams score 50.69%
  • Goals after 80' 14.19%
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