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Preview:
HJK Helsinki and Ventspils face at the Sonera Stadium, Helsinki, in a 2nd leg match for the second round of the Champions League.
 
The head to head history favours HJK, since in the last 3 matches they register 3 wins. In the 1st leg match they won 3-1.

Analysis of HJK

HJK Helsinki arrives at this with qualification almost guaranteed, after the win and 3 away goals in the 1st leg match. Therefore, to qualify, they need but to avoid suffering goals, which shouldn’t be too hard, since they have a record of only 0,4 goals suffered per match in the last 10 home matches.
 
Moreover, the home team opened up the score in 9 of those 10 matches. They only reached halftime in advantage in 11% of them, but in 89% they recovered the lead in the second half.
 
Probable Line-up: Daniel Orlund; Sebastian Sorsa, Tapio Heikkilä, Markus Heikkinen, Gideon Baah; Atomu Tanaka, Rasmus Schüller, Erfan Zeneli, Guy Moussi; Demba Savage, Mike Havenaar.
 
Coach: Mika Lehkosuo

Confirmed Lineup: D. Örlund, G. Baah, T. Heikkilä, S. Sorsa, R. Schüller, A. Tanaka, E. Zeneli, G. Moussi, M. Heikkinen, D. Savage, M. Havenaar.
Coach: M. Lehkosuo.

Analysis of Ventspils

Ventspils faces a nearly impossible task, since they have to come back from a 2 goals disadvantage. The only goal of the team was scored by Antons Jemelins.
 
Analyzing their last 10 matches, the away team register an interesting average of 2,4 goals scored per match, so Ventspils will play offensively and seems to know how to do so.
 
In this match coach Jurģis Pucinskis’s team needs to score early, but their best period is the last 15’ minutes of the match, in which they have scored 10 goals.
 
Probable Line-up: Vitalijs Melnicenko; Vadims Zulevs, Antons Jemelins, Ritus Krjauklis, Alans Sinelnikovs, Vitalijs Barinovs; Ritvars Rugins, Simonas Paulius, Jurijs Zigajevs; Girts Karlsons, Ndue Mujeci.
 
Coach: Jurģis Pucinskis

Confirmed Lineup: V. Meļņičenko, V. Žuļevs, A. Jemeļins, R. Krjauklis, R. Rugins, A. Sineļnikovs, I. Đorić, S. Paulius, D. Turkovs, N. Mujeci, V. Barinovs.
Coach: P. Ashworth.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario is that Ventspils will not be losing at halftime. We believe the away team will start the match playing offensively, pressuring HJK immediately in the beginning of their offensive plays, so they are likely to create the best goal opportunities in the first half. Therefore, they will at least avoid being in disadvantage by the end of the first half.

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NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

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UEFA Champions League - 2015/2016

  • 100% 217 / 217 Games

  • Home team wins 51.61%
  • Draws 21.2%
  • Away team wins 27.19%
  • Over 1.5 75.12%
  • Over 2.5 51.61%
  • Over 3.5 28.57%
  • Goals 584
  • Goals /match 2.69
  • Goals /match home 1.58
  • Goals /match away 1.12
  • Both teams score 47.93%
  • Goals after 80' 17.29%
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