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Preview:
Chelsea and Porto face at Stamford Bridge, in a match for this stage of the UEFA Champions League (Group Stage). Chelsea registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

Analysis of Chelsea

The home team is currently in the 1st position, with 10 points won, after 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. In the penultimate round, they have won a home match against Dynamo Kyiv by (2‑1). In the last round, they have won an away match against Maccabi Tel Aviv by (0‑4). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses at their stadium. They come to this match after a home loss against AFC Bournemouth by (0‑1). Chelsea has won 5, tied 1 and lost 4 of the last 10 home matches. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 4 of the last 5 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 15 matches, and have never been able to turn the score around.

Chelsea comes to this match after a home loss against Bournemouth, by 0-1, so their negative moment is clear. In this match coach José Mourinho will probably play offensively, in search for the win, but in certain moments of the match he may prefer defensive organization. The Portuguese coach will have most of the usual starting line-up players available.

Confirmed Lineup: T. Courtois, K. Zouma, B. Ivanović, J. Terry, Azpilicueta, Oscar, Willian, E. Hazard, N. Matić, Ramires, Diego Costa.
Coach: G. Hiddink.

Analysis of Porto

The away team is currently in the 2nd position, with 10 points won, after 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. In the penultimate round, they have won an away match against Maccabi Tel Aviv by (1‑3). In the last round, they have lost a home match against Dynamo Kyiv by (0‑2). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss in away matches, with 29 goals scored and 11 conceded; against 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 4 conceded. In their last match, for the Primeira Liga, they got a home win against Paços de Ferreira by (2‑1). Their last away match was for the Primeira Liga and ended in a win by (0‑4) against União Madeira. In the last 10 away matches Porto has won 7 and tied 3. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 4 of the last 5 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 4 of the last 5 matches for this competition.

FC Porto comes to this match motivated, after having turned the score around in the last Portuguese league match, against Paços de Ferreira. In this match their main goal is to get the win, but they may play for the tie, depending on the score of the other group match. Coach Julen Lopetegui will be able to count on most of the usual starting line-up players.

Confirmed Lineup: Casillas, Ivan Marcano, M. Pereira, Maicon, B. Martins Indi, M. Layún, H. Herrera, Danilo Pereira, G. Imbula, Y. Brahimi, Jesús Corona.
Coach: José Peseiro.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario is that there will be a few goals in this match. We expect a balanced match, closed at times, but mostly open. The home team will probably have more initiative in the match, since they need to win, so they should score at least one goal, which will force Chelsea to score too. Therefore, the tendency is that there will be a few goals.
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Tips : Chelsea vs Porto

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UEFA Champions League - 2015/2016

  • 100% 217 / 217 Games

  • Home team wins 51.61%
  • Draws 21.2%
  • Away team wins 27.19%
  • Over 1.5 75.12%
  • Over 2.5 51.61%
  • Over 3.5 28.57%
  • Goals 584
  • Goals /match 2.69
  • Goals /match home 1.58
  • Goals /match away 1.12
  • Both teams score 47.93%
  • Goals after 80' 17.29%
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