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Astana and Benfica face at Astana Arena, in a match for this stage of the UEFA Champions League (Group Stage). In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis of Astana

After 2 draws and 2 losses, the home team is currently in the 4th position, with 2 points won. In the last match, they have tied (0‑0) at home against Atlético Madrid, after in the previous round they have lost (4‑0) in an away match against Atlético Madrid. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in away matches; against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses at their stadium. In their last match, for the Cup, they got a home loss against Kairat by (1‑2). In the last 5 UEFA Champions League home matches Astana has a record of 3 wins and 2 draws.

They haven’t lost any of the last 5 home matches for this competition. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 2 of the last 10 matches for the UEFA Champions League, they have reached half‑time in front in all of those 2 matches and held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in all of them. In 10 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

At home, Astana uses  to play with 4 players in the defensive line, 4in the midfield and 2 in the most offensive sector, thus seeking to put more players in finishing zones. They search to an organized defense, without giving much space, subsequently to go to attack through counter-attacks. 
It's important to note that the best team scorer, Nuserbayev, with 11 goals, has been a noted absence in the last matches. 

Confirmed Lineup: N. Erić, E. Postnikov, B. Ilič, M. Aničić, D. Shomko, S. Muzhikov, F. Kéthévoama, R. Cañas, N. Maksimović, J. Kabananga, P. Twumasi.
Coach: S. Stoilov.

Analysis of Benfica

The away team is currently in the 1st position, with 9 points won, after 3 wins and 1 loss. In the penultimate round, they have lost an away match against Galatasaray by (2‑1). In the last round, they have won a home match against Galatasaray by (2‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 15 conceded; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 34 goals scored and 12 conceded. In their last match, for the Taça de Portugal, they got an away loss against Sporting CP by (2‑1) after extended time. In the last 10 away matches Benfica has won 4 and lost 6. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 3 of the last 4 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 4 matches for this competition. In the last 4 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 4 of their 6 goals between minutes (0'‑15').

The team led by Rui Vitória come to this match with some important absences that can be crucial to the match outcome. Luisão, Salvio, Fejsa and Nelson Semedo are injured, and Nicolás Gaitán is serving punishment. 
Therefore, it's foreseen that the red coach choose Lisandro López in centre of defense and Talisca in one of the flanks. 
The good news to this match is the return of Samaris after the punishment in the last match of Champions League. 

Confirmed Lineup: Júlio César, L. López, Sílvio, Jardel, Eliseu, Pizzi, Renato Sanches, A. Samaris, R. Jiménez, Jonas, Goncalo Guedes.
Coach: Rui Vitória.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario to this match will be the low scoring. 
Going to Cazaquistão implies a very long and tiring trip to the visiting team and, as the Benfica can't count on their better weapons, it's foreseen that they pass through serious difficulties.
Besides that, as Aston haven't players capable of unbalance the match, it's expected that this match finish with few goals on the scoreboard.  
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Tips : Astana vs Benfica

Forum comments


UEFA Champions League - 2015/2016

  • 100% 217 / 217 Games

  • Home team wins 51.61%
  • Draws 21.2%
  • Away team wins 27.19%
  • Over 1.5 75.12%
  • Over 2.5 51.61%
  • Over 3.5 28.57%
  • Goals 584
  • Goals /match 2.69
  • Goals /match home 1.58
  • Goals /match away 1.12
  • Both teams score 47.93%
  • Goals after 80' 17.29%
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