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Ajax VS Valencia


Preview
Ajax and Valencia meet at Amsterdam ArenA, in a match for this stage of the UEFA Champions League (Group Stage). Ajax registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

Analysis of Ajax

After 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, the home team is currently in the 1st position, with 10 points won. In the last match, they have won (0‑2) in an away match against Lille, after in the previous round they have tied (4‑4) in an away match against Chelsea. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins and 5 draws in away matches, with 50 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses at their stadium, with 40 goals scored and 10 conceded. They come to this match after a home loss against Willem II by (0‑2). Ajax registers 3 wins and 1 loss in the last 4 home matches for the UEFA Champions League. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 9 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 33 of the last 34 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals and 26 out of 34 have ended with Over 2,5 goals.

Ajax comes for this match unmotivated after a 0-2 loss against Willem II, putting an end to their four wins in official games. In the last match in Champions League, the Dutch beat Lille by 0-2. If occurs a draw in this game, Ajax advance to the next phase of this competition. The coach Erik ten Hag should keep the team at 4-3-3 by favoring a ball possession style and looking for space in the corridors. The dutchman Quincy Promes is the top scorer of this Ajax with 4 goals scored. Out of this match is David Neres due to injury.

Confirmed Lineup: A. Onana, N. Mazraoui, L. Martínez, N. Tagliafico, J. Veltman, D. Blind, E. Álvarez, H. Ziyech, D. van de Beek, N. Lang, D. Tadić.
Coach: E. ten Hag.

Analysis of Valencia

The away team is currently in the 3rd position, with 8 points won, after 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. In the penultimate round, they have won a home match against Lille by (4‑1). In the last round, they have tied a home match against Chelsea by (2‑2). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 21 conceded. In their last match, for the Primera División, they got an away win against Levante by (2‑4). In the last 10 away matches Valencia has won 4, tied 2 and lost 4. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 4 of the last 5 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 4 of the last 5 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 7 times but have turned the score around in 3.

Valencia enters this match with a 2-4 victory in Levante's field, thus adding the second straight victory in official matches. In the last match for the Champions League, the visitors drew 2-2 against Chelsea. In this match against Ajax, the coach Albert Celades should use the same system, 4-3-3, with Ferrán Torres, Rodrigo and Gameiro being the most advanced men. We highlight that the visitors have presented several defensive weaknesses. For this game the visitor mister cannot count on Garay, punished, as well as Piccini, Kondogbia and Gonçalo Guedes, these with physical problems.

Confirmed Lineup: Jaume Doménech, Gabriel Paulista, Gayá, M. Diakhaby, F. Coquelin, Ferrán Torres, Carlos Soler, D. Wass, Dani Parejo, Rodrigo, K. Gameiro.
Coach: Celades.

Betting suggestion:

This game is of utmost importance to both clubs. Both Ajax and Valencia need to earn points, having the risk of missing out on the next round of the Champions League. It is important to emphasize that the strengths of these formations are in the most offensive sector. Thus, we expect an attacking mentality from the teams, making the game very open and with chances of goals in both goals. Said that and given the goal market, betting in favor of the "Over 2.5 Goals" market is a good alternative for this match.
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

Markets
Match Odds 124 Place your bet
Ajax 89%
The Draw 3%
Valencia 8%
Over/Under 2.5 goals 28 Place your bet
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Under 2.5 Goals 7%
Half Time 16 Place your bet
The Draw 9%
Valencia 6%
Ajax 84%
First Half Goals 11 Place your bet
Under 0.5 Goals 0%
Over 0.5 Goals 100%
Over/Under 1.5 Goals 11 Place your bet
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Under 1.5 Goals 0%
Over/Under 3.5 Goals 10 Place your bet
Over 3.5 Goals 90%
Under 3.5 Goals 10%
Over/Under 4.5 Goals 7 Place your bet
Over 4.5 Goals 71%
Under 4.5 Goals 29%
Over/Under 0.5 Goals 4 Place your bet
Over 0.5 Goals 100%
Under 0.5 Goals 0%
Over/Under 5.5 Goals 1 Place your bet
Over 5.5 Goals 100%
Under 5.5 Goals 0%
Both teams to Score? 40 Place your bet
Yes 93%
No 8%
Penalty Taken? 1 Place your bet
No 0%
Yes 100%
Half With Most Goals 4 Place your bet
1st Half 25%
2nd Half 75%
Tie 0%
Second Half 0%
Corners Odds 4 Place your bet
13 or more 63%
10 - 12 38%
9 or less 0%
First Half Goals 1.5 15 Place your bet
Under 1.5 Goals 27%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Note: On the graphics, the lay Tips were converted to Back on the other choices of that market.

Tips
Note: Listing of Tips made only in contests available at the Online Betting Academy.

Forum comments

 

UEFA Champions League - 2019/2020

  • 92% 187 / 203 Games

  • Home team wins 42.78%
  • Draws 23.53%
  • Away team wins 33.69%
  • Over 1.5 82.35%
  • Over 2.5 57.22%
  • Over 3.5 33.16%
  • Goals 546
  • Goals /match 2.92
  • Goals /match home 1.59
  • Goals /match away 1.33
  • Both teams score 53.48%
  • Goals after 80' 19.41%
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