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Ajax and PAOK face at Amsterdam ArenA, in a 2nd leg match for the UEFA Champions League (3rd Qualifying Round), after a (2‑2) draw in the 1st leg match. The recent head‑to‑head record favours the home team, since they have a record of 2 wins and 2 draws in the last 4 matches. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Ajax presents significant differences between home and away results.

Analysis of Ajax

The home team comes to this 2nd leg match with the advantage of the away draw by (2‑2), so all they need is a tie for under 2 goals to stay ahead in the aggregate result. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 48 goals scored and 15 conceded; against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 42 goals scored and 19 conceded. They come to this match after a home win against Emmen by (5‑0). Ajax has won 6, tied 2 and lost 2 of the last 10 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 10 matches. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 57 of the last 62 have ended with Over 1,5 goals and 47 out of 62 have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 15 matches, but have been able to turn the score around in 2.

Ajax comes for this match after a 5-0 win against Emmen, in a match counting for the Dutch Championship. In the first leg against PAOK, the Dutch managed to win a 2-2 lead: their goals were scored by Huntelaar and Giannoulis (own goal). In this match at his stadium, mister Erik ten Hag should favor the maintenance of ball possession and organized attacks, always with the aim of not offering space to his opponent. Hypothetically, we will look this team 4-3-3 lineup: Tadic and Ziyech should make up the team's flanks. Out of this match are Labyad, Eiting and Bandé, all with physical problems.

Confirmed Lineup: A. Onana, L. Martínez, N. Mazraoui, N. Tagliafico, J. Veltman, D. Blind, H. Ziyech, R. Marin, D. van de Beek, David Neres, D. Tadić.

Analysis of PAOK

The away team comes to this 2nd leg match in disadvantage, since despite the 1st leg draw they have conceded 2 goals at home. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 37 goals scored and 11 conceded; against 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 39 goals scored and 10 conceded. In the last 10 away matches PAOK has won 6, tied 3 and lost 1. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches.

PAOK comes for this match after a two-ball lead against Ajax, in a match for the 1st leg of the Champions League 3rd round: the goals of the team were signed by Léo Matos and Akpom. In this second leg against Ajax, a very difficult team to play at home, coach Abel Ferreira should benefit from the low middle block and the counterattacks, exploiting the best space in the opponent's back. Midfielder Omar El Kaddouri is largely responsible for creating and organizing the offensive process. For this match, the coach won’t count on Vieirinha, Maurício and Wernbloom, all injured.

Confirmed Lineup: A. Paschalakis, Fernando Varela, D. Giannoulis, Léo Matos, José Crespo, A. Esiti, D. Pelkas, O. El Kaddouri, D. Biseswar, Léo Jabá, C. Akpom.

Betting suggestion:

This second leg has all the ingredients to be very open and with great scoring opportunities, as both teams present a very offensive match model. On the one hand, Ajax acts with the support of their fans and have a squad with several individual solutions; on the other hand, PAOK have interesting players and need to score to still advance in this Champions League. So, we believe that this second leg will end with the winning “Over 2.5 Goals” market.
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

Match Odds 74 Place your bet
Ajax 92%
The Draw 6%
Over/Under 2.5 goals 24 Place your bet
Under 2.5 Goals 0%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Half Time 23 Place your bet
The Draw 20%
Ajax 78%
First Half Goals 14 Place your bet
Over 0.5 Goals 93%
Under 0.5 Goals 7%
Over/Under 1.5 Goals 7 Place your bet
Under 1.5 Goals 0%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over/Under 3.5 Goals 8 Place your bet
Under 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 3.5 Goals 100%
Over/Under 4.5 Goals 3 Place your bet
Under 4.5 Goals 67%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both teams to Score? 29 Place your bet
No 10%
Yes 90%
Half With Most Goals 3 Place your bet
1st Half 33%
Tie 0%
2nd Half 67%
Second Half 0%
Odd or Even Total Goals 1 Place your bet
Odd 0%
Even 100%
First Half Goals 1.5 10 Place your bet
Under 1.5 Goals 20%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Note: On the graphics, the lay Tips were converted to Back on the other choices of that market.

Note: Listing of Tips made only in contests available at the Online Betting Academy.

Forum comments


UEFA Champions League - 2019/2020

  • 93% 85 / 91 Games

  • Home team wins 43.53%
  • Draws 23.53%
  • Away team wins 32.94%
  • Over 1.5 77.65%
  • Over 2.5 52.94%
  • Over 3.5 29.41%
  • Goals 225
  • Goals /match 2.65
  • Goals /match home 1.48
  • Goals /match away 1.16
  • Both teams score 51.76%
  • Goals after 80' 19.56%
View all


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