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Denmark vs Sweden

  • 2 - 2
  • Played


Denmark and Sweden face at Telia Parken, in a 2nd leg match for the EC Qualification (Play‑offs), after the (2‑1) home win by Sweden in the 1st leg match. The head‑to‑head record between these two teams couldn't be more balanced, since there were 1 win for each team in the last 2 head‑to‑heads. Denmark registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

Analysis of Denmark

The home team comes to this 2nd leg match with a disadvantage of 1 goal, but with the advantage of having scored 1 away goals in the 1st leg. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 18 conceded. Denmark registers 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 4 home matches for the EC Qualification. The team has had problems scoring first, since they have only opened up the score once in the last 9 matches for the EC Qualification. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 9 matches for this competition, but have been able to turn the score around in 2.

The national team led by Morten Olsen will act in the usual 4-3-3 being Bendtner the earliest man of the Danish structure. In the first leg the centre foward Wolfsburg was short of expectations, failing for some occasions the enemy goal. Jorgensen, the Copenhagen centre foward scored the goal that gives hope to the national Denmark squad: the player can be the big news in this second leg of the play-off.

Confirmed Lineup: K. Schmeichel, R. Durmisi, S. Kjær, L. Jacobsen, D. Agger, C. Eriksen, T. Delaney, P. Højbjerg, Y. Poulsen, N. Jørgensen, N. Bendtner.
Coach: M. Olsen.

Analysis of Sweden

The away team comes to this 2nd leg match with an advantage of 1 goal, but has suffered 1 goal at home in the 1st leg. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 12 conceded; against 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 22 conceded. In the last 5 EC Qualification away matches Sweden has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 11 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 11 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

In this second hand the coach Erik Hamrén will line up in the usual 4-4-2, but with a more defensive strategy. Thus it's expected that the Swedes come organized into the match, attacking preferably through the flanks: Forsberg and Durmaz are essential in this type of transition. It's also important to note that Zlatan Ibrahimovic scored one of the goals in the first match and presents in a great performance: has scored 15 goals this season. 

Confirmed Lineup: A. Isaksson, M. Lustig, E. Johansson, A. Granqvist, P. Bengtsson, S. Larsson, O. Lewicki, K. Källström, Z. Ibrahimović, E. Forsberg, M. Berg.
Coach: E. Hamrén.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match will be the existence of at least two goals. Taking into account the type of match, it's expected that Denmark risks in attack exposing their most defensive line. On the other hand, and to the first leg picture, Sweden will successfully take advantage of the gaps in the Danish defence, increasing thus the existence of goals in the match.
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Tips : Denmark vs Sweden

Forum comments


EC Qualification - 2016 France

  • 100% 268 / 268 Games

  • Home team wins 43.66%
  • Draws 18.66%
  • Away team wins 37.69%
  • Over 1.5 72.76%
  • Over 2.5 47.01%
  • Over 3.5 25%
  • Goals 700
  • Goals /match 2.61
  • Goals /match home 1.41
  • Goals /match away 1.2
  • Both teams score 38.81%
  • Goals after 80' 18.29%
View all
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