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Derby County Luton Town betting prediction

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Luton logo
Derby vs Luton
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Derby
  • 0 - 1
  • Played
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Luton

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match is that there will be few goals. As well as expecting a relatively even encounter, both teams have shown a cohesive defensive sector, allowing their opponents to create few chances. It's worth noting that the “Under 2.5 Goals” market has won 67% of Derby County's games played indoors.
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Preview
Derby and Luton meet at Pride Park Stadium, in a match for the 43th round of the Championship. Luton Town got a home win by (2‑1), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 20‑12‑2024. The recent head‑to‑head record favours the away team, since they have a record of 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 matches. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Derby

After 11 wins, 10 draws and 21 losses, the home team is in the 21th position, havinf won 42 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Portsmouth by (2‑2), after in the previous match they have tied (0‑0) at home, against Burnley. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in away matches; against 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches Derby has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 30 possible. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (8 out of 21 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 14 of their last 21 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. In 42 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 22 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Derby County come into this game on the back of a 2-2 draw at Portsmouth last time out: the team's goals were scored by Jerry Yates and Rob Atkinson (own goal). The home side usually play a 3-4-3 tactical system, favoring quick transitions and using the flanks to build their attack. The main attacking threats are Nathaniel Méndez-Laing, Marcus Harness and Jerry Yates, with midfielder Ebou Adams taking on the role of organizer in moments of attacking construction. Out for this game are Callum Elder, Ryan Nyambe, Ben Osborn, Lars-Jørgen Salvesen, David Ozoh, Corey Blackett-Taylor, Dajaune Brown and Curtis Nelson, all out with fitness problems.

Confirmed Lineup: Josh Vickers, Kane Wilson, Matthew Clarke, S. Klingen Langås, Craig Forsyth, Nathaniel Phillips, Harrison Armegang, Marcus Harness, Ebou Adams, Nathaniel Mendez-Laing, Jerry Yates.
Coach: J. Eustace.

Analysis Luton

The away team is currently in the 23th position of the league, with 40 points won, after 10 wins, 10 draws and 22 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Stoke City, by (1‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Blackburn Rovers, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in away matches, with 11 goals scored and 30 conceded; against 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 11 goals scored and 10 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Luton has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 8 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 42 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 23 times and have only turned the score around in 4.

Luton Town go into this match on the back of a 0-1 defeat against Blackburn Rovers. The away side are playing a 5-3-2 tactical system, favoring quick transitions, especially down the flanks. Up front, Carlton Morris and Carlton Morris are the main players responsible for causing discomfort in the opposing defense. Offensively, the team tends to exploit the left flank, where Millenic Alli stands out for his runs and crossing ability. Out for this game are Alfie Doughty, Elijah Adebayo, Marvelous Nakamba, Jacob Brown and Shandon Baptiste, all with fitness problems.

Confirmed Lineup: Thomas Kaminski, Mark McGuinness, Amari Bell, Christ Makosso, Kal Naismith, Lamine Dabo, Jordan Clark, Thelo Aasgaard, Carlton Morris, Millenic Alli, Isaiah Jones.
Coach: R. Edwards.

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Frequently asked questions
👉 Which is the recommended bet for the Derby Luton match?

The tip and bet suggestion for the Derby vs Luton match, on 18 April 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Under 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on betfair.

👉 In which stadium will the Derby Luton be played?

The Derby vs Luton on 18 April 2025 will be played at Derby, Pride Park Stadium.

👉 Which is the most voted bet for this match?

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Derby Luton match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Derby at with 71% of the tips.

 

Championship - 2024/2025

  • 100% 556 / 557 Games

  • Home team wins 45.68%
  • Draws 28.24%
  • Away team wins 26.08%
  • Over 1.5 70.86%
  • Over 2.5 44.6%
  • Over 3.5 21.58%
  • Goals 1363
  • Goals /match 2.45
  • Goals /match home 1.43
  • Goals /match away 1.02
  • Both teams score 50%
  • Goals after 80' 16.73%
View all

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