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Preview:
Watford and Manchester City meet at Vicarage Road Stadium, in a match for the 20th round of the Premier League. Manchester City got a home win by (2‑0), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 29‑08‑2015. In 3 head‑to‑heads in the last 3 years, the away team won 3. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 9th and 3rd of the league table, it’s also a match between the 10th best team in home matches and the 11th best in away matches.

Analysis of Watford

The home team is currently in the 9th position of the league, with 29 points won, after 8 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Chelsea, by (2‑2). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Tottenham Hotspur, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 15 points in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 12 conceded, against 14 points won at their stadium, with 10 goals scored and 8 conceded. For the league, Watford won 14 points out of 30 possible points, after 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 10 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 19 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have never been able to turn the score around. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 10 home matches for this competition: they have suffered 4 of their 8 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

Watford comes to this match after a home 1-2 loss against Tottenham, putting an end to a 5 match sequence with no losses. Despite this loss, coach Quique Flores should use the same defensive strategy, trying to explore counterattacks. The main offensive reference of the team is Ighalo. However, Quique will not be able to count on the usual left winger, Nathan Aké, who is recovering from an injury.

Confirmed Lineup: Gomes, C. Cathcart, A. Nyom, M. Britos, J. Holebas, A. Abdi, José Jurado, E. Capoue, B. Watson, T. Deeney, O. Ighalo.
Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores.

Analysis of Manchester City

The away team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 36 points won, after 11 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Sunderland, by (4‑1). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Leicester City, by (0‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 12 points in away matches and 24 at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 12 conceded at home, against 8 goals scored and 8 conceded in away matches. In the last 9 away league matches Manchester City has a record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 12 points out of 27 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 6 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 9 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 6 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 19 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Manchester City comes to this match after a draw against Leicester, registering the second consecutive match with no losses. After this draw Manchester City should present an offensive strategy, attacking preferably through the left wing, taking advantage of the great form moment of De Bruyne. Fernando, Zabaleta, Kompany and Samir Nasri are still recovering from injuries.

Confirmed Lineup: J. Hart, N. Otamendi, B. Sagna, E. Mangala, A. Kolarov, David Silva, K. De Bruyne, R. Sterling, Y. Touré, Fernandinho, S. Agüero.
Coach: M. Pellegrini.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario is that there will be more goals in the second half. Analysing the stats and the form of both teams we expect a balanced match in the first half and more goal opportunities in the second, since the forwards will have more freedom, given the accumulated fatigue that should be more noticeable in this period.
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Tips : Watford vs Manchester City

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Premier League - 2015/2016

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 41.32%
  • Draws 28.16%
  • Away team wins 30.53%
  • Over 1.5 73.16%
  • Over 2.5 52.89%
  • Over 3.5 30.53%
  • Goals 1026
  • Goals /match 2.7
  • Goals /match home 1.49
  • Goals /match away 1.21
  • Both teams score 51.84%
  • Goals after 80' 16.86%
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