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Watford vs Liverpool

Watford
Watford
  • 3 - 0
  • Played

Liverpool

Preview:
Watford and Liverpool face at Vicarage Road Stadium, in a match for the 17th round of the Premier League. There is no record of official head‑to‑heads between these two teams in the last 3 years. The last time they met, on 13‑01‑2007, the match ended with the final score: Watford (0‑3) Liverpool. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis of Watford

The home team is currently in the 7th position of the league, with 25 points won, after 7 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Norwich City, by (2‑0). In the last match, they won in an away match against Sunderland, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 26 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 15 goals scored and 10 conceded. In the last 8 home league matches Watford has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 24 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 8 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 6 of their last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 16 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 9 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 6 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

Watford comes to this match after a series of 3 consecutive wins, so they are clearly in a good form moment. In this match their goal will be to add another win to this positive sequence. Coach Quique Flores should use the usual 4-4-2 formation, with Ighalo and Deeney in the most forward positions. Nigerian Ighalo is the best scorer of the team, with 10 goals scored this season. In this match Behrami, Prodl, Hoban and Ekstrand will not be available, due to injuries.

Confirmed Lineup: Gomes, C. Cathcart, A. Nyom, M. Britos, N. Aké, A. Abdi, José Jurado, B. Watson, E. Capoue, T. Deeney, O. Ighalo.
Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores.

Analysis of Liverpool

The away team is currently in the 9th position of the league, with 24 points won, after 6 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Newcastle United, by (2‑0). In the last match, they tied in a home match against West Bromwich Albion, by (2‑2). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 23 goals scored and 12 conceded; against 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 19 conceded. In the last 8 away league matches Liverpool has a record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 12 points out of 24 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Liverpool is going through a negative form moment and haven’t won any of the last 3 matches. Therefore, coach Jurgen Klopp’s goal is to start winning again, so we expect him to present an offensive strategy for this match. The best scorer of the team is Coutinho, with 5 goals scored this season. Unavailable due to injuries are Sturridge, Sakho, Flanagan, Joe Gomez and Danny Ings.

Confirmed Lineup: A. Bogdán, M. Škrtel, N. Clyne, M. Sakho, Alberto Moreno, A. Lallana, J. Henderson, Philippe Coutinho, Lucas Leiva, E. Can, Roberto Firmino.
Coach: J. Klopp.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario is that both teams will score at least one goal. Despite playing as the away team, Liverpool clearly has got more arguments, so they should be able to score. But despite its weaknesses, Watford has scored regularly in the last matches, so we believe they are likely to score too.
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Tips : Watford vs Liverpool

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Premier League - 2015/2016

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 41.32%
  • Draws 28.16%
  • Away team wins 30.53%
  • Over 1.5 73.16%
  • Over 2.5 52.89%
  • Over 3.5 30.53%
  • Goals 1026
  • Goals /match 2.7
  • Goals /match home 1.49
  • Goals /match away 1.21
  • Both teams score 51.84%
  • Goals after 80' 16.86%
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