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Newcastle United Southampton betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This clash should not be one of the most unbalanced in this round of the English Championship, as it marks the meeting between two teams that have been doing very similar campaigns, so much that they are separated by just one point, at the bottom of the table. Both teams have a lot of difficulty keeping possession, and the locals have been inefficient at the time of finishing, although they have created a good volume of opportunities. Newcastle still show strength in the aerial game, but it fails in the coverage of the sides. Southampton often risks from outside the area, and its defense excels in tackles, but it fails in the aerial balls and in the space given to the opponent. Thus, we expect a balanced game, the draw being a good betting option, but with the favoritism for Newcastle.
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Preview
Newcastle United and Southampton face at St. James' Park, in a match for the 30th round of the Premier League. In the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 15‑10‑2017, these teams have tied (2‑2). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 1 win and 2 draws in the last 3 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 09‑08‑2015, in a match for the Premier League they tied (2‑2). The goals of the match were scored by P. Cissé (42' ) and G. Wijnaldum (48' ), for Newcastle United, and by G. Pellè (24' ) and S. Long (79' ), for Southampton. Although this is a match between 16th and 17th of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 18th best in home matches and the 12th best in away matches.

Analysis Newcastle

After 7 wins, 8 draws and 14 losses, the home team is in the 16th position, havinf won 29 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Liverpool by (2‑0), after in the previous match they have tied (2‑2) an away match against AFC Bournemouth. This is a team that maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since they have had similar results in both conditions. For the league, Newcastle United won 9 points out of 30 possible points, after 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the last 10 home matches. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (7 out of 14 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 10 of their last 14 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. They have conceded the first goal in 15 of their 29 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 14 home matches for this competition: they have scored 6 of their 12 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

Newcastle plays again at home for the English Premier League after two straight appearances away from its fans, having the chance to add the second successive home win and thus ease the poor situation in the competition. In the last round, the team had a very poor performance against Liverpool, having missed many passes and finished half the time of the opponent, and ended up suffering another setback with a goal conceded at each stage. As was evident in this confrontation, the offensive sector has been acting in a very unsatisfactory way, so much that today it is among the six worst of the competition. Another weakness of the team is the exchange of passes, which has the second highest average error rate. A 4-4-1-1 tactical formation was the formation of choice for Lascelles.

Confirmed Lineup: Martin Dúbravka, DeAndre Yedlin, Paul Dummett, Jamaal Lascelles, Florian Lejeune, Jonjo Shelvey, Matt Ritchie, Mohamed Diamé, Kenedy, Dwight Gayle, Ayoze Pérez.
Coach: E. Howe.

Analysis Southampton

The away team is currently in the 17th position of the league, with 28 points won, after 5 wins, 13 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Burnley, by (1‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Stoke City, by (0‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, with 16 goals scored and 21 conceded at home, against 13 goals scored and 20 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches Southampton has a record of 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 8 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 29 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 15 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Southampton is struggling in this season's Premier League, having only one win in the last sixteen games, and now it has three rounds without a win, having scored only one goal in that period. In its last clash, the team had more possession and finalized more than the opponent, but did not show efficiency, and ended up only conceding a goalless draw against Stoke. The offensive performance in this last round confirms what the team has been presenting throughout the competition as it has only seven more goals than the worst attack of the championship. Playing away from home, the team won little more than 30% of the points, and in this condition could not score goals in four games. For this duel, coach Pellegrino is expected to organize the team in the 4-2-3-1, with highlight for Redmond in the offensive sector.

Confirmed Lineup: Alex McCarthy, Cédric Soares, Ryan Bertrand, Jack Stephens, Wesley Hoedt, Mario Lemina, James Ward-Prowse, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg, Nathan Redmond, Guido Carrillo, Dušan Tadić.
Coach: R. Hasenhüttl.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Newcastle vs Southampton match, on 10 March 2018, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Double chance, Newcastle or Draw ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Newcastle vs Southampton on 10 March 2018 will be played at Newcastle upon Tyne, St. James' Park.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Newcastle Southampton match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Newcastle at with 56% of the tips.

 

Premier League - 2017/2018

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 45.53%
  • Draws 26.05%
  • Away team wins 28.42%
  • Over 1.5 73.95%
  • Over 2.5 51.05%
  • Over 3.5 29.21%
  • Goals 1018
  • Goals /match 2.68
  • Goals /match home 1.53
  • Goals /match away 1.15
  • Both teams score 48.95%
  • Goals after 80' 16.7%
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