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Nottm Forest VS Aston Villa


Preview
Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa meet at The City Ground, in a match for the 27th round of the Championship. Aston Villa got a home win by (2‑1), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 23‑09‑2017. The head‑to‑head record between these two teams couldn't be more balanced, since there were 2 draws and 1 win for each team in the last 4 head‑to‑heads. Nottingham Forest registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

Analysis of Nottingham Forest

After 10 wins, 2 draws and 14 losses, the home team is in the 14th position, havinf won 32 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Leeds United by (0‑0), after in the previous match they have lost (0‑1) at home, against Sunderland. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in away matches; against 9 wins and 6 losses at their stadium. In their last match, for the FA Cup, they got a home win against Arsenal by (4‑2). In the last 10 home league matches Nottingham Forest has a record of 5 wins and 5 losses, so they have won 15 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 26 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 16 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Nottingham enters into this game motivated after a 4-2 home triumph against Arsenal, to count for the FA Cup. The home team tends to play in 4-3-3, favoring offensive transitions and channeling its attack through the side aisles. The three arrows aimed at the opponent's goal will be Osborn, Brereton and Clough, being midfielder Dowel the player responsible for driving the team's attacks. Cash, Dowell, and Vaughan may play in the most central area of the field.

Confirmed Lineup: J. Smith, M. Mills, E. Lichaj, M. Mancienne, A. Traoré, K. Dowell, M. Cash, D. Vaughan, B. Osborn, B. Brereton, Z. Clough.
Coach: Karanka.

Analysis of Aston Villa

The away team is currently in the 5th position of the league, with 44 points won, after 12 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Middlesbrough, by (0‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Bristol City, by (5‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 15 conceded; against 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 15 conceded. In their last match, for the FA Cup, they got a home loss against Peterborough United by (1‑3). In the last 10 away league matches Aston Villa has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 17 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 13 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 26 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 13 away matches for this competition there are 2 periods that stand out: they have conceded 6 of their 14 goals between minutes (46'‑60') and 5 of their 14 goals between (16'‑30').

Aston Villa enters into this match unmotivated after a 1-3 home loss against Peterborough, to count for the FA Cup. The away team usually plays in 4-3-3, favoring a faster style of play and of constant transitions. The three arrows aimed at the opponent's goal will be Hogan, Snodgrass and Adomah. It is possible that Grealish, Jedinak and Hourihane occupy the most central part of the field. The coach will not be able to rely on Grealish and Green for being injured.

Confirmed Lineup: S. Johnstone, J. Chester, J. Terry, A. Hutton, Ahmed El Mohamady, C. Hourihane, R. Snodgrass, A. Adomah, G. Whelan, J. Grealish, S. Hogan.
Coach: S. Bruce.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this challenge will be both teams scoring at least one goal. A fairly balanced match is expected, however, with the two sets trying to put an end to the uneven moment they are going through. It should be noted that the average goal at Nottingham's field is quite high.
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

Markets
Match Odds 6 Place your bet
Aston Villa 50%
2.58
Nottm Forest 42%
3.2
The Draw 8%
3.29
Over/Under 2.5 goals 5 Place your bet
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
2.32
Under 2.5 Goals 20%
1.74
Half Time 2 Place your bet
The Draw 25%
2.14
Aston Villa 25%
3.4
Nottm Forest 50%
4
Over/Under 1.5 Goals 4 Place your bet
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
1.43
Under 1.5 Goals 0% 3.2
Over/Under 3.5 Goals 1 Place your bet
Over 3.5 Goals 0% 4.4
Under 3.5 Goals 100%
1.28
Over/Under 0.5 Goals 1 Place your bet
Under 0.5 Goals 0% 10
Over 0.5 Goals 100%
1.1
Both teams to Score? 3 Place your bet
Yes 67%
1.93
No 33%
2.02
First Half Goals 1.5 1 Place your bet
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
3.25
Under 1.5 Goals 0% 1.33
Note: On the graphics, the lay Tips were converted to Back on the other choices of that market.

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Forum comments

 

Championship - 2017/2018

  • 100% 557 / 557 Games

  • Home team wins 43.09%
  • Draws 26.75%
  • Away team wins 30.16%
  • Over 1.5 72.71%
  • Over 2.5 47.22%
  • Over 3.5 25.13%
  • Goals 1414
  • Goals /match 2.54
  • Goals /match home 1.4
  • Goals /match away 1.13
  • Both teams score 49.55%
  • Goals after 80' 16.2%
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