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Atlético Nacional Deportes Tolima betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

After conquering an excellent away win, Nacional de Medellín will only play for a draw to become champion, so they must play with caution in this duel, knowing how to press the opponent and finding spaces to come out on the counterattacks. The away team will need to look for a great result away from home, a task not easy because their opponent is very qualified, soon they have to show a much better football that presented in the first leg. We believe that this will be a very closed game and with the locals not allowing opposing strikers space, because they play for the draw, so we will bet that there will be no more than 2.5 goals scored until the end of the 90 minutes.
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Preview
Atlético Nacional and Deportes Tolima meet at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, in a 2nd leg match for the Primera A (Apertura ‑ Finals). Atlético Nacional got an away win by (0‑1) in the previous 1st leg match. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 6 head‑to‑heads they won 4 and tied 2. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primera A, on 03‑12‑2017, Deportes Tolima won by (1‑3), after a penalti shootout. L. Ruiz (46' ) and D. Moreno (51' ) scored for Atlético Nacional and M. Pérez (56' ) for Deportes Tolima. Atlético Nacional registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

Analysis Atl. Nacional

The home team comes to this 2nd leg match with an advantage of 1 goal, after the (0‑1) away win in the 1st leg. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 12 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 23 goals scored and 3 conceded.

They haven’t lost any of the last 11 home matches for this competition. In their home matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑0 (7 out of 11 matches) and 1‑0 (4 out of 11 matches) and after the 90' 2‑0 (4 out of 11 matches) and 1‑0 (6 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 3 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 11 of their last 11 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. They have conceded the first goal in 5 of their 24 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.

The first leg of the Apertura final of the Colombian championship was excellent for the Nacional de Medellín, because even playing away from home the team ended up surprising and won by 1-0. They have taken a very important step and will now play for any draw but it is clear that they do not want to depend on the regulation, quite the contrary, so long as the ball rolls they will give it all to increase their advantage. Now there is only one game left for the title and no doubt there are no more margins for errors, so much is that they only aim at attitude and efficiency to be able to be champion. For this match manager Jorge Almirón should take to the field the one that has the best available.

Confirmed Lineup: Fernando Monetti, Helibelton Palacios, Diego Braghieri, Felipe Aguilar, Alexis Henriquez, Jorman Campuzano, Jeison Lucumí, Gonzalo Castellani, Macnelly Torres, Dayro Moreno, Vladimir Hernández.
Coach: P. Autuori de Mello.

Analysis Dep. Tolima

After the home loss in the 1st leg, the away team comes to this 2nd leg with a disadvantage of 1 goal and the hard task of having to come back from a negative result in an away match. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 17 goals scored and 9 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Deportes Tolima has a record of 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 16 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 11 matches). In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 9 of the last 11 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 24 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 11 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 5 of their 9 goals between minutes (46'‑60').

Just to have reached the final Tolima already has reasons to celebrate, after all the Colombian championship is complicated and has enough qualified teams. On the other hand, they not want to miss so close to the end and will fight until the last minute for the title, even knowing that after losing at home in the first leg their chances have been reduced. Today the team must win by two or more goals difference to be champion, and as there is nothing left to lose will fight with all their strength to try to surprise and conquer the cup. For this match Alberto Gamero should take to the field what is best available.

Confirmed Lineup: Álvaro Montero, Juan Guillermo Arboleda, Fainer Torijano, Julián Quiñones, Danovis Banguero, Carlos Renteria, Rafael Robayo, Carlos Robles, Yohandry Orozco, Sebastián Villa, Angelo Rodríguez.
Coach: H. Torres Oliveros.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Atl. Nacional vs Dep. Tolima match, on 10 June 2018, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Under 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Atl. Nacional vs Dep. Tolima on 10 June 2018 will be played at Medellín, Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Atl. Nacional Dep. Tolima match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Atl. Nacional at with 80% of the tips.

 

Primera A - 2018

  • 100% 408 / 408 Games

  • Home team wins 51.23%
  • Draws 25.74%
  • Away team wins 23.04%
  • Over 1.5 63.97%
  • Over 2.5 39.95%
  • Over 3.5 19.12%
  • Goals 896
  • Goals /match 2.2
  • Goals /match home 1.35
  • Goals /match away 0.85
  • Both teams score 41.42%
  • Goals after 80' 15.4%
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