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São Paulo Chapecoense betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

With a technically superior team to the opponent and to be playing at home, the home team figure as favorite to win the match. The trend is to confirm that favoritism on the pitch and win the match. So, a bet on the home team’s victory seems to have great value.
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Preview
São Paulo and Chapecoense meet at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), in a match for this stage of the Serie A (Regular Season). The head‑to‑head history indicates total balance, since there is a record of 2 draws and 1 win for each team in the last 4 matches. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 18‑09‑2015, and ended in a draw by (0‑0). In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis São Paulo

The home team is currently in the 9th position of the league, with 22 points won, after 6 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Corinthians, by (1‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Grêmio, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 11 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 9 conceded. In the last 7 home league matches São Paulo has a record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 13 points out of 21 possible.

They haven’t lost any of the last 4 home matches for this competition. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 16 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 20 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 8 of their 14 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

São Paulo has been doing a median to good campaign in this Brasileirão and, if they want to climb up on the league table to win is very important. The team knows the match against Chapecoense tends to be balanced, once that the opponent has been doing a similar campaign, but to act at home and because of their interests only the three points matter.
For this match the coach Edgardo Bauza won’t count on the injured Ytalo, Daniel, Caramel, Lucas Fernandes, Wellington and Breno, and Rodrigo Caio who is in the Olympic team.

Confirmed Lineup: Denis, Bruno, Carlinhos, Diego Lugano, Maicon, Hudson, Thiago Mendes, Ricardo Centurión, Michel Bastos, Christian Cueva, Kelvin.

Analysis Chapecoense

The away team is currently in the 10th position of the league, with 22 points won, after 5 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Figueirense, by (1‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Botafogo, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 19 goals scored and 26 conceded; against 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 18 conceded. In their last match, for the Copa do Brasil, they got a home tie against Atlético PR by (1‑1). In the last 8 away league matches Chapecoense has a record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 9 points out of 24 possible.

In their away league matches there are a few frequent results at half‑time: 1‑0 (3 out of 8 matches) and 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 6 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 2 of the last 16 matches for the Serie A, they have reached half‑time in front in 1 of those 2 matches and held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in all of them. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have only turned the score around in 3.

Chapecoense has been doing a median to good campaign in this Brasileirão and, if they want to climb up on the league table it’s important to score points, even away home. The team knows the match against São Paulo will be balanced, once that the opponent is doing a campaign similar to yours, but even so they’ll try to win, but knowing that a draw isn’t a bad result. For this match the coach Caio Junior has in the medical department Ananias, Sergio Manoel, Marcelo Neto, Alan Ruschel and Silvinho. Arthur Maia is in doubt.

Confirmed Lineup: Danilo, Gimenez, Dener, Thiego, Filipe Machado, Josimar, Cléber Santana, Gil, Hyoran, Kempes, Alejandro Martinuccio.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the São Paulo vs Chapecoense match, on 31 July 2016, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: São Paulo wins ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The São Paulo vs Chapecoense on 31 July 2016 will be played at São Paulo, Estádio Nicolau Alayon.

 

Serie A - 2016

  • 100% 379 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 53.3%
  • Draws 24.8%
  • Away team wins 21.9%
  • Over 1.5 65.96%
  • Over 2.5 43.8%
  • Over 3.5 21.9%
  • Goals 912
  • Goals /match 2.41
  • Goals /match home 1.49
  • Goals /match away 0.92
  • Both teams score 45.65%
  • Goals after 80' 17.65%
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