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Fortaleza VS Cruzeiro

Fortaleza vs Cruzeiro

  • 2 - 1
  • Played


Fortaleza and Cruzeiro face at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in a match for the 9th round of the Serie A. There is no record of official head‑to‑heads between these two teams in the last 3 years. The last time they met, on 14‑10‑2006, the match ended with the final score: Cruzeiro (0‑0) Fortaleza. Fortaleza registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

Analysis of Fortaleza

After 2 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses, the home team is in the 16th position, havinf won 7 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Grêmio by (1‑0), after in the previous match they have lost (2‑0) an away match against Flamengo. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in away matches; against 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss at their stadium. Fortaleza has won 7, tied 2 and lost 1 of the last 10 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in all of the last 8 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had problems scoring first, since they have only opened up the score once in the last 8 matches for the Serie A. In 8 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have conceded 4 of their 10 goals between minutes (61'‑75') and 4 of their 10 goals between (76'‑90').

Fortaleza are campaigning poorly in Série A, going through a difficult moment with only 1 victory in the last 6 games and are looking for a recovery to try to get out of the relegation zone. The team have presented serious problems in both the offensive and defensive sectors, having scored only 6 goals in 8 games, being the third worst attack of the championship, and suffered 12 goals, having the fifth best defense, being a team that, despite of the good touch of the ball, have difficulties to create clear chances of goal and still leave many spaces behind. 
Playing at home as the match on Wednesday, Fortaleza have been erratic, having registered 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat, did not win for 2 games and scored only 3 goals at their stadium, showing again their offensive problems. 
For the game against Cruzeiro, coach Rogério Ceni will not be able to count on striker Osvaldo due to suspension, further weakening his offensive sector.

Confirmed Lineup: Felipe Alves, Carlinhos, J. Quintero, Felipe, Nathan Otávio, Dodô, Juninho, Gabriel Dias, Marcinho, Romarinho, André Luis.
Coach: Zé Ricardo.

Analysis of Cruzeiro

The away team is currently in the 14th position of the league, with 8 points won, after 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against São Paulo, by (1‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Corinthians, by (0‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 32 goals scored and 9 conceded. In the last 4 away league matches Cruzeiro has a record of 1 draw and 3 losses, so they have won 1 point out of 12 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 4 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 6 of the last 8 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 8 matches for this competition. In 8 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Cruzeiro campaign far below the expected in Série A, mainly because of the good quality of their squad, and are seeking recovery to try to move away from the relegation zone. The team's offensive sector has left much to be desired, so much so that it is the eighth worst of the competition with only 8 goals in 8 games, but the biggest problem have been the defense that suffered 14 goals and is the fourth worst, although it is worth noting that it has shown signs of improvement and has suffered only 1 goal in total in the last two rounds, with players of great quality in this sector and certainly will not maintain the bad performance of this championship start. 
Playing away from home, such as this Wednesday's match, Cruzeiro have encountered huge difficulties, have the worst away campaign with 3 losses and 1 draw and, counting Série A of last season, won only one of the last 18 away matches, something quite disturbing. 
For the game against Fortaleza, coach Mano Menezes has only in doubt the striker Fred who recovers from injury.

Confirmed Lineup: Fábio, Dedé, Dodô, Léo, L. Romero, A. Cabral, Robinho, Thiago Neves, Henrique, Pedro Rocha, Sassá.
Coach: Adilson Batista.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match is the occurrence of some goals. Both teams are in very difficult situations in the competition and need a lot of victory to leave the last positions, so they should adopt more aggressive positions in search of the 3 points, but it is worth mentioning that both defenses have left much to be desired. Fortaleza suffered goals in all three of their first three games, while Cruzeiro conceded at least 3 goals in 3 of their 4 away matches but scored goals in all of them. Given these factors, we believe in an open game, with chances for both sides and at least 2 goals on the scoreboard.
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

Forum comments


Serie A - 2019

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 48.42%
  • Draws 25.79%
  • Away team wins 25.79%
  • Over 1.5 66.05%
  • Over 2.5 40.79%
  • Over 3.5 18.16%
  • Goals 876
  • Goals /match 2.31
  • Goals /match home 1.38
  • Goals /match away 0.92
  • Both teams score 46.84%
  • Goals after 80' 20.43%
View all
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