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Bahia São Paulo betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Bahia want to take advantage of the fact of playing at home to score the three points. The visitors will try to get surprise the hosts, so they should leave for the game. This tends to be a busy game with good chances of goals. We will bet that there will be more than 2.5 goals in the match.
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Preview
Bahia and São Paulo face at Arena Fonte Nova, in a match for the 23th round of the Serie A. In the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 21‑08‑2020, these teams have tied (1‑1). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 2 wins and 2 draws in the last 4 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 10‑10‑2019, in a match for the Serie A, they tied (0‑0). In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Bahia

After 8 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses, the home team is in the 10th position, havinf won 28 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against RB Bragantino by (4‑0), after in the previous match they have won (1‑2) an away match against Coritiba. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in away matches; against 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses at their stadium. In their last match, for the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, they got a home win against Unión by (1‑0). In the last 10 home league matches Bahia has a record of 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, so they have won 16 points out of 30 possible.

They have won the last 4 home matches for this competition. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑1 (4 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 14 of their 22 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 11 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 7 of their 17 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Bahia know that when playing at their stadium the need for good results increases considerably. Thus, the team have to be prepared for each opponent they face, for each game they play. Therefore, they cannot let the visiting team play, even if they are fighting for the leadership. Therefore, the hosts have to try to have ball possession and play in an organized manner, always aiming to score goals and not leave spaces.

Confirmed Lineup: Douglas Friedrich, Juninho, Ernando, M. Bahia Santos, Alesson, Ramon, Gregore, Edson, Rodriguinho, Elias, Rossi.
Coach: R. Alves Paiva.

Analysis São Paulo

The away team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 38 points won, after 10 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Vasco da Gama, by (1‑1). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Ceará, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 26 goals scored and 26 conceded; against 9 wins and 6 draws at their stadium, with 31 goals scored and 14 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches São Paulo has a record of 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 16 points out of 30 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 7 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 20 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times but have turned the score around in 4.

São Paulo have a great record against Bahia and want to continue as they are. It is true that they will play away from home, where a draw is not bad, but for the moment they are going through, winning is the best result. Therefore, the team have to assert the quality they have to try to cancel the home team. Being able to occupy the spaces of the field, the probability of victory will increase.

Confirmed Lineup: Tiago Volpi, Reinaldo, Juanfran, Dani Alves, Robert Arboleda, Léo, Luan Santos, Igor Gomes, Gabriel, Luciano, Brenner.
Coach: T. Carpini Barbosa.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Bahia vs São Paulo match, on 28 November 2020, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Over 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Bahia vs São Paulo on 28 November 2020 will be played at Salvador, Arena Fonte Nova.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Bahia São Paulo match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by São Paulo at with 52% of the tips.

 

Serie A - 2020

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 45%
  • Draws 28.42%
  • Away team wins 26.58%
  • Over 1.5 73.95%
  • Over 2.5 46.05%
  • Over 3.5 20.26%
  • Goals 944
  • Goals /match 2.48
  • Goals /match home 1.41
  • Goals /match away 1.07
  • Both teams score 52.63%
  • Goals after 80' 16.1%
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