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Sport VS Grêmio

Sport vs Grêmio

Sport
Sport
  • 0 - 0
  • Played

Grêmio


Preview
Sport Recife and Grêmio meet at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, in a match for the 12th round of the Serie A. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 3 and tied 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Serie A, on 28‑05‑2017, Sport Recife won by (4‑3). André (34' , 74' and 84' ) and Matheus Ferraz (64' ) scored for Sport Recife and Fernandinho (5' and 87' ) and Rafael Thyere (17' ) for Grêmio. Sport Recife registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

Analysis of Sport Recife

After 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, the home team is in the 7th position, havinf won 18 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Vasco da Gama by (3‑2), after in the previous match they have won (1‑0) at home, against Atlético PR. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 11 wins and 4 draws at their stadium. For the league, Sport Recife won 11 points out of 15 possible points, after 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 home matches.

They haven’t lost any of the last 5 home matches for this competition. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 11 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have only turned the score around in 1. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 14 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 4 of their 8 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Sport Recife is a team with little tradition in the conquest of titles in Brazilian football, since throughout its history it has conquered only once the Series A of the Brazilian Championship, title that conquered in the distant year of 1987 and that until today it generates much controversy. In the Pernambucano Championship this year, the team was in third place, having been eliminated in the semi-finals and beat Salgueiro by 3-0 in the race for third place. In Serie A of the Brazilian Championship of 2018, the team has tried to remain among the first placed, being at the moment among the top six. In the last five games that Sport played at home for the Brazilian Championship, in four of them were scored less than 3.5 goals. We believe that in this match the standard will be maintained, since Sport will play against a team with a very solid defense.

Confirmed Lineup: Mailson, Ronaldo Alves, Raul Prata, Ernando, Sander, Marlone, Fellipe Bastos, Deivid, Rafael Marques, Gabriel, Rogerio.
Coach: Nelsinho Baptista.

Analysis of Grêmio

The away team is currently in the 4th position of the league, with 19 points won, after 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Palmeiras, by (0‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against América Mineiro, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 9 conceded; against 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 31 goals scored and 5 conceded. In the last 5 away league matches Grêmio has a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, so they have won 10 points out of 15 possible. Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 3 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 49 of the last 75 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 7 of their 17 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Grémio is considered one of the greatest teams in Brazil, has twice won the Brazilian Serie A Championship, the last one in 1996, is a five-time Brazilian Cup champion, thirty-seven times Guacho champion and adds numerous other titles, and recently won the third Copa Libertadores and was runner-up of FIFA Club World Cup in 2018, losing in the final by 1-0 against Real Madrid. The team was the gaucho champion of 2018 and in the Brazilian Championship of the Series A is in the fourth place of the standings and when we analyze their away games, we see that they have performed games with few goals, of the five away games, four had less than 2.5 goals scored, so we believe that this pattern will repeat itself.

Confirmed Lineup: Marcelo Grohe, Paulo Miranda, Léo Moura, Bressan, Bruno Cortez, Thaciano, Ramiro, Lima, Cícero, Arthur, André.
Coach: Renato Gaúcho.

Betting suggestion:

In this game between Sport Recife and Grémio, we expect a game with few goals, because Grémio should adopt a more defensive posture, since they know that Sport is going through a great time. In this game the scoreboard should not register more than 3.5 goals, and this will be our bet.
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

Markets
Match Odds 48 Place your bet
The Draw 27%
3.2
Sport Recife 43%
3.3
Gremio 30%
2.56
Over/Under 2.5 goals 26 Place your bet
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
1.61
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
2.78
Over/Under 1.5 Goals 23 Place your bet
Under 1.5 Goals 4%
2.8
Over 1.5 Goals 96%
1.59
Over/Under 3.5 Goals 8 Place your bet
Over 3.5 Goals 0% 5.9
Under 3.5 Goals 100%
1.22
Over/Under 4.5 Goals 1 Place your bet
Under 4.5 Goals 100%
1.07
Over 4.5 Goals 0% 14
Over/Under 0.5 Goals 6 Place your bet
Over 0.5 Goals 67%
1.14
Under 0.5 Goals 33%
7.6
Over/Under 5.5 Goals 1 Place your bet
Under 5.5 Goals 100%
1.02
Over 5.5 Goals 0% 42
Both teams to Score? 18 Place your bet
Yes 78%
2.22
No 22%
1.77
Odd or Even Total Goals 1 Place your bet
Even 0% 1.94
Odd 100%
2.04
Half Time 6 Place your bet
Sport Recife 25%
4.2
The Draw 50%
2
Gremio 25%
3.55
Note: On the graphics, the lay Tips were converted to Back on the other choices of that market.

Tips

Forum comments

 

Serie A - 2018

  • 31% 119 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 51.26%
  • Draws 29.41%
  • Away team wins 19.33%
  • Over 1.5 65.55%
  • Over 2.5 41.18%
  • Over 3.5 23.53%
  • Goals 281
  • Goals /match 2.36
  • Goals /match home 1.46
  • Goals /match away 0.9
  • Both teams score 46.22%
  • Goals after 80' 19.57%
View all

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