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Santos Vitória betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This bout should not be one of the most balanced of this round of the Brazilian Championship, since it faces two teams that have been doing campaigns somewhat different so far. While Santos seek to maintain the vice-leadership, Vitória tries to distance itself from the relegation zone. 
The home team is very strong in counterattacks, but fails in the time to finish, while its defense has failed to reduce the space of the opponent. 
Vitória shows a lot of efficiency at the moment of finishing, but it has difficulty in maintaining ball possession, while its defense fails in the interception of balls in depth, having also made some individual mistakes. 
So, by playing at home and having a more qualified squad, it is a good option to bet on Santos's victory.
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Preview
Santos and Vitória meet at Estádio Municipal Paulo Machado de Carvalho, in a match for the 28th round of the Serie A. Santos got an away win by (0‑2), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 21‑06‑2017. The head‑to‑head history of the last 3 years favours the home team, since in the last 6 matches they won 5 and lost 1. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 2nd and 12th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 2nd best team in home matches and the 2nd best in away matches.

Analysis Santos

After 13 wins, 9 draws and 5 losses, the home team is in the 2nd position, havinf won 48 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Ponte Preta by (1‑1), after in the previous match they have won (0‑1) an away match against Palmeiras. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 19 points in away matches, with 12 goals scored and 11 conceded, against 29 points won at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 6 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Santos has a record of 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 23 points out of 30 possible.

They haven’t lost any of the last 7 home matches for this competition. There are a few recurrent results in their home matches: at half‑time 0‑0 (9 out of 13 matches) and after the 90' 1‑0 (5 out of 13 matches). In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 9 of the last 13 matches for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 7 of their 27 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 13 home matches for this competition: they have suffered 3 of their 6 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Santos returns to play at home for the Brazilian Championship, where it has been doing a great campaign, after two consecutive away games, having achieved very good results. The team has already gone three rounds without a loss, a time when it conceded only one goal, accumulating only one defeat in the last seventeen games. In the last round, the team had more ball possession and also finalized more than the opponent, but only managed to conquer a tie. As home team, Santos owns the second best campaign of the championship, condition in which also it has the defense less leaked. Coach Levir Culpi is likely to organize the team in the 4-2-3-1 or 4-2-1-3, with David Braz in the midfield.

Confirmed Lineup: Vanderlei, Daniel Guedes, Zeca, Lucas Veríssimo, David Braz, Matheus Jesus, Alison, Lucas Lima, Jean Mota, Jonathan Copete, Ricardo Oliveira.
Coach: F. Carille.

Analysis Vitória

The away team is currently in the 12th position of the league, with 32 points won, after 9 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Botafogo, by (2‑3). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Sport Recife, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 23 points in away matches and 9 at their stadium, with 14 goals scored and 23 goals conceded at home, against 19 goals scored and 17 goals conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches Vitória has a record of 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 22 points out of 30 possible.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 5 wins in the last away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 27 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Vitória is not going through a very regular moment in the Brazilian Championship, and enters the field for this game trying to conquer the sixth consecutive away win in the competition and thus compensate for the undesirable results registered at home, where it lost three of the last four confrontations.
This recent good performance away from home has already led the team to the second best campaign of the league in this type of situation, a condition in which it also has the second best attack, with nineteen goals scored in thirteen games. However, the team has been failing in the touch of the ball, lacking precision in this matter. 
The striker Tréllez is one of the highlights of the team, which should play in 4-3-3.

Confirmed Lineup: Caíque, Caíque Sá, Juninho, Ramon, Wallace Reis, Fillipe Soutto, Yago Felipe, Uillian Correia, Santiago Tréllez, Neílton, David da Fonseca.
Coach: L. Condé.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Santos vs Vitória match, on 16 October 2017, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Santos wins ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Santos vs Vitória on 16 October 2017 will be played at São Paulo, São Paulo, Estádio Municipal Paulo Machado de Carvalho.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Santos Vitória match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Santos at with 88% of the tips.

 

Serie A - 2017

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 43.95%
  • Draws 27.11%
  • Away team wins 28.95%
  • Over 1.5 69.47%
  • Over 2.5 40.53%
  • Over 3.5 23.95%
  • Goals 923
  • Goals /match 2.43
  • Goals /match home 1.38
  • Goals /match away 1.04
  • Both teams score 48.68%
  • Goals after 80' 17.44%
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