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Ponte Preta VS Santos

Ponte Preta vs Santos

Ponte Preta
Ponte Preta
  • 1 - 1
  • Played

Santos

Preview
Ponte Preta and Santos face at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, in a match for the 27th round of the Serie A. In the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 18‑06‑2017, these teams have tied (0‑0). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 6 wins and 2 losses in the last 8 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 01‑04‑2017, in a match for the Paulista A1, Ponte Preta won by (1‑0). The only goal of the match was scored by William Pottker (21' ). Although this is a match between 15th and 2nd of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 8th best in home matches and the 6th best in away matches.

Analysis of Ponte Preta

The home team faces Santos, in a match for the 27 round, which had been delayed, after 8 wins, 7 draws and 12 losses in the league so far. This is a team that usually plays better at home, where they have won 23 points, against only 8 points in away matches. For the league, Ponte Preta won 14 points out of 30 possible points, after 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 home matches. They have conceded the first goal in 11 of their 27 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.

Ponte Preta returns to play at home for the Brazilian Championship, trying to conquer the second consecutive home victory in the competition, thus compensating for the three defeats in the last four rounds, which left the team very close to the relegation zone. The team has not been making a good campaign since the start of the championship, and managed to accumulate two consecutive victories only once. However, in home matches the team has been able to show good offensive work, although in the last three rounds has conceded more goals than scored. One of the weak points of the São Paulo team is ball possession, which has one of the worst averages of the championship. For this match, the coach will not be able to count on Elton, who is suspended.

Confirmed Lineup: Aranha, Marllon, Nino Paraíba, Luan Peres, Jean Patrick, Jeferson, Danilo Barcelos, Naldo, Fernando Bob, Lucca, Emerson Sheik.
Coach: Eduardo Baptista.

Analysis of Santos

The away team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 47 points won, after 13 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Atlético PR, by (1‑0). In the last match, they won in an away match against Palmeiras, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 18 points in away matches and 29 at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 6 conceded at home, against 11 goals scored and 10 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches Santos has a record of 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 15 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 13 matches). In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 12 of the last 13 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 26 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 13 away matches for this competition there are 3 periods that stand out: they have scored 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (76'‑90') and 4 of their 11 goals between (31'‑45'); they have conceded 4 of their 10 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

Santos is going through a great moment in the Brazilian Championship, coming from two consecutive victories, having conceded no goal in that period, and accumulates only one defeat in the last sixteen games. The team is motivated after having returned to win away from home in the competition, in a very balanced bout against the rival Palmeiras. At the time, the team had only 38% ball possession and finished half the opponent's time, but showed efficiency and left with the victory. The team excels by having a very consistent defense away from home, but at the same time has one of the worst attacks in this condition. One of the strong points of the team is the touch of the ball, since it is the fifth that misses less passes in the championship. Lucas Verissimo and David Braz are the highlights of the last rounds.

Confirmed Lineup: Vanderlei, Lucas Verissimo, Daniel Guedes, David Braz, Zeca, Lucas Lima, Matheus Jesus, Alison, Ricardo Oliveira, Bruno Henrique, J. Copete.
Coach: Elano.

Betting suggestion:

This bout puts face-to-face two teams that have been doing very different campaigns throughout the Brazilian Championship. While Santos tries to reduce the distance to the leader Corinthians, Ponte Preta seeks to move away from the relegation zone, since it has only one point more than the first team of the Z4. The home team bets a lot on long distance kicks, but struggles in keeping ball possession. Santos, however, bets a lot on counterattacks, but has been failing at the moment of conclusion, while its defense fails in the aerial game, giving much space to the opponent. Thus, we expect a balanced game, with the draw being a good betting option, but with favoritism for Santos, which has a more qualified squad and players that can make a difference.
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

Markets
Match Odds 87 Place your bet
Santos 67%
3.35
Ponte Preta 14%
2.905
The Draw 20%
3.25
Over/Under 2.5 goals 41 Place your bet
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
2.6
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
1.62
Half Time 14 Place your bet
Ponte Preta 11%
3.66
Santos 50%
4.3
The Draw 39%
2.02
Over/Under 1.5 Goals 22 Place your bet
Under 1.5 Goals 18%
3
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
1.51
Over/Under 3.5 Goals 19 Place your bet
Under 3.5 Goals 84%
1.22
Over 3.5 Goals 16%
5.3
Over/Under 4.5 Goals 8 Place your bet
Under 4.5 Goals 100%
1.07
Over 4.5 Goals 0% 14
Over/Under 0.5 Goals 4 Place your bet
Under 0.5 Goals 0% 8.22
Over 0.5 Goals 100%
1.13
Over/Under 5.5 Goals 1 Place your bet
Under 5.5 Goals 100%
1.02
Over 5.5 Goals 0% 34
Both teams to Score? 25 Place your bet
No 24%
1.85
Yes 76%
2.12
Half With Most Goals 4 Place your bet
2nd Half 75%
2.2
1st Half 25%
3.25
Tie 0% 3.25
First Half Goals 1.5 11 Place your bet
Under 1.5 Goals 64%
1.3
Over 1.5 Goals 36%
3.75
First Half Goals 7 Place your bet
Over 0.5 Goals 71%
1.5
Under 0.5 Goals 29%
2.62
Note: On the graphics, the lay Tips were converted to Back on the other choices of that market.

Tips

Forum comments

 

Serie A - 2017

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 43.95%
  • Draws 27.11%
  • Away team wins 28.95%
  • Over 1.5 69.47%
  • Over 2.5 40.53%
  • Over 3.5 23.95%
  • Goals 923
  • Goals /match 2.43
  • Goals /match home 1.38
  • Goals /match away 1.04
  • Both teams score 48.68%
  • Goals after 80' 17.44%
View all

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