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Grêmio VS Vasco

Grêmio vs Vasco

Grêmio
Grêmio
  • 2 - 1
  • Played

Vasco

Preview
Grêmio and Vasco da Gama meet at Arena do Grêmio, in a match for the 10th round of the Serie A. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 3 head‑to‑heads they won 3. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Serie A, on 11‑11‑2018, Grêmio won by (2‑1). Jael (20' ) and Matheus Henrique (90' ) scored for Grêmio and Thiago Galhardo (12' ) for Vasco da Gama. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 11th and º of the league table, it’s also a match between the 15th best team in home matches and the 18th best in away matches.

Analysis of Grêmio

The home team is currently in the 11th position of the league, with 11 points won, after 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Fortaleza, by (1‑0). In the last match, they won in an away match against Botafogo, by (0‑1). This is a team that maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since they have had similar results in both conditions. They come to this match after a home draw against Bahia by (1‑1). For the league, Grêmio won 6 points out of 12 possible points, after 2 wins and 2 losses in the last 4 home matches. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 9 matches for this competition.

Grêmio are campaigning lower than expected in Série A, but have been recovering, won their last 2 matches, conquered 3 wins in the last four rounds and are looking for another 3 points to continue to climb the standings. The team need to improve in both the offensive and defensive sectors, having scored 10 goals in 9 games, being only the tenth best attack of Série A, and suffered 11 goals, having the eighth worst defense, although it is worth noting that they have been improving defensively, so much that they did not concede goals in 3 of the last 4 matches, something that was already expected by the enormous quality of their pair of defenders. 
Playing at home, such as this Saturday's match, Grêmio lost the first 2 of the 4 games they played but come from 2 consecutive wins where they have not conceded goals, being a historically very strong team next to their fans. 
For the game against Vasco da Gama, coach Renato Gaúcho will not be able to rely on midfielder Michel due to injury.

Confirmed Lineup: Paulo Victor, Juninho Capixaba, Rodrigues, Léo Moura, David Braz, Thaciano, Matheus Henrique, Rômulo, Jean Pyerre, Pepê, Luan.
Coach: Renato Gaúcho.

Analysis of Vasco da Gama

The away team is currently in the ª position of the league, with no points won yet, after 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Internacional, by (2‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Ceará, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, with 6 goals scored and 5 conceded at home, against 2 goals scored and 9 conceded in away matches. In their last match, for the Club Friendlies, they got a home win against Atlético GO by (1‑0). In the last 4 away league matches Vasco da Gama has a record of 1 draw and 3 losses, so they have won 1 point out of 12 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 4 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 9 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 9 matches for this competition. In 9 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Vasco da Gama are campaigning well below expectations in Série A but have shown signs of improvement, come from 2 wins and are looking for another win to try to move away from the relegation zone. The team have serious problems in both the offensive and defensive sectors, having scored only 8 goals in 9 rounds, being the fourth worst attack of the competition, and suffered 14 goals, having the fourth worst defense, being a team that even create goal opportunities, but have huge deficiencies in the finalization and still leave many spaces behind. 
Playing away from home, like Saturday's clash, Vasco da Gama have not yet won in the Brazilian Championship, registering 3 losses and 1 draw and have an average of more than 2 goals conceded per game in this type of situation, showing again their defensive problems, especially away from their dominions. 
For the game against Grêmio, coach Vanderlei Luxemburgo has no problems in the team considered holder and goes to the field with maximum strength.

Confirmed Lineup: Fernando Miguel, Ricardo Graça, Danilo Barcelos, O. Henríquez, Marcos Júnior, Marquinho, Richard, Valdívia, Raul, Yago Pikachu, Rossi.
Coach: Vanderlei Luxemburgo.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match is the home team winning. Grêmio are considerably superior to Vasco which, in turn, have only an average squad and should fight in the second half of the table in this Série A. In addition, Grêmio are usually very strong at their stadium where they come from 2 wins, while Vasco have played very poorly away from home where they registered 3 losses and 1 draw and have an average of more than 2 goals conceded per away game. In view of these factors, we believe Grêmio will be superior during the 90 minutes and win the 3 points in this match.
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

Markets
Match Odds 93 Place your bet
Vasco Da Gama 8%
Gremio 82%
The Draw 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals 16 Place your bet
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Half Time 21 Place your bet
Vasco Da Gama 0%
Gremio 76%
The Draw 24%
First Half Goals 10 Place your bet
Under 0.5 Goals 0%
Over 0.5 Goals 100%
Over/Under 1.5 Goals 18 Place your bet
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Under 1.5 Goals 0%
Over/Under 3.5 Goals 7 Place your bet
Under 3.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over/Under 4.5 Goals 2 Place your bet
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Under 4.5 Goals 100%
Over/Under 0.5 Goals 6 Place your bet
Under 0.5 Goals 0%
Over 0.5 Goals 100%
Over/Under 5.5 Goals 1 Place your bet
Under 5.5 Goals 100%
Over 5.5 Goals 0%
Both teams to Score? 20 Place your bet
No 55%
Yes 45%
Half With Most Goals 3 Place your bet
2nd Half 100%
1st Half 0%
Tie 0%
Second Half 0%
First Half Goals 1.5 13 Place your bet
Under 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 1.5 Goals 31%
Note: On the graphics, the lay Tips were converted to Back on the other choices of that market.

Tips
Note: Listing of Tips made only in contests available at the Online Betting Academy.

Forum comments

 

Serie A - 2019

  • 50% 190 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 50.53%
  • Draws 25.79%
  • Away team wins 23.68%
  • Over 1.5 64.74%
  • Over 2.5 41.05%
  • Over 3.5 19.47%
  • Goals 435
  • Goals /match 2.29
  • Goals /match home 1.39
  • Goals /match away 0.9
  • Both teams score 45.79%
  • Goals after 80' 19.54%
View all

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