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Fortaleza VS Avaí

Fortaleza vs Avaí

Fortaleza
Fortaleza
  • 2 - 0
  • Played

Avaí

Preview
Fortaleza and Avaí face at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in a match for the 10th round of the Serie A. In the last 3 years these teams met twice: the earliest head‑to‑head was played on 10‑11‑2018 and ended in a (0‑1) win by Fortaleza, and the latest on 24‑07‑2018, which ended in a (1‑1) draw, Fortaleza registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

Analysis of Fortaleza

The home team is currently in the 15th position of the league, with 10 points won, after 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Grêmio, by (1‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Cruzeiro, by (2‑1). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in away matches; against 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss at their stadium. For the league, Fortaleza won 7 points out of 12 possible points, after 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 4 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in all of the last 9 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 2 of the last 9 matches for the Serie A, they have reached half‑time in front in 1 of those 2 matches and held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in all of them. In 9 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 10 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Fortaleza make an unsatisfactory campaign in the Brazilian Championship, but ended a series of 3 games without winning with a great triumph in the last round and go in search of another positive result to try to move away from the relegation zone. The team have problems both in the offensive and defensive sectors, having scored only 8 goals in 9 rounds, being the fourth worst attack of the competition, and suffered 13 goals, having the sixth worst defense, needing to improve in both to reach their goal of not being relegated. Playing at home like the game of this Saturday, Fortaleza have acted reasonably, having lost only 1 of the 4 games they played, come from a victory over Cruzeiro and it is worth noting that they have not conceded more than 1 goal in any of these 4 matches. 
For the game against Avaí, manager Rogério Ceni will not be able to count on the defender Nathan due to suspension.

Confirmed Lineup: Felipe Alves, Carlinhos, J. Quintero, Felipe, Roger Carvalho, Gabriel Dias, Juninho, Romarinho, Wellington Paulista, André Luis, Osvaldo.
Coach: Zé Ricardo.

Analysis of Avaí

The away team is currently in the 20th position of the league, with 4 points won, after 4 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against São Paulo, by (0‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Palmeiras, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 18 goals scored and 7 conceded. In the last 5 away league matches Avaí has a record of 1 draw and 4 losses, so they have won 1 point out of 15 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 9 matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 9 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had problems scoring first, since they have only opened up the score once in the last 9 matches for the Serie A. In 9 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 11 of their 31 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Avaí make a disastrous campaign in Série A, are the only team that have not yet won after 9 rounds and are looking for an urgent recovery to try to leave the competition's last position. The team have the biggest problem of the enormous inefficiency of their attack that scored only 4 goals in 9 games, being the second worst of the competition, so much so that it do not score goals for three rounds, and also did not score a single goal in 5 of his 9 games so far, and the defense also needs adjustments, having conceded 11 goals and is eighth worst out of the 20 championship teams. 
Playing away from home, such as this Saturday's match, Avaí have the worst use of the competition with only 1 point conquered in 15 played and scored only 2 goals in the 5 away matches, showing again their offensive problems, especially away from home where they create very few opportunities. 
For the game against Fortaleza, coach Alberto Valentim, who makes his debut in charge of the team, will not be able to count on defender Marquinhos Silva because of injury.

Confirmed Lineup: Vladimir, Léo, Luanderson , Igor, Betão, Pedro Castro, Gustavo Ferrareis, Douglas, Julinho, Brenner, Lourenço.
Coach: Alberto Valentim.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match is the home team winning.  Fortaleza have a superior team, are a better organized team and have been acting convincingly at their stadium, even coming from a victory over Cruzeiro. Avaí, meanwhile, have a low-quality squad, are the competition's last-placed, have an attack of enormous inefficiency that has scored only 4 goals in 9 rounds and have the worst away campaign with only 1 point conquered of 15 disputed. In view of these factors, we believe Fortaleza will be superior, dominate the game and conquer the 3 points in this confrontation.
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

Markets
Match Odds 102 Place your bet
Avai 2%
Fortaleza 90%
The Draw 8%
Over/Under 2.5 goals 10 Place your bet
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Half Time 15 Place your bet
Fortaleza 60%
The Draw 40%
Avai 0%
First Half Goals 10 Place your bet
Over 0.5 Goals 100%
Under 0.5 Goals 0%
Over/Under 1.5 Goals 10 Place your bet
Under 1.5 Goals 10%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over/Under 3.5 Goals 3 Place your bet
Under 3.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over/Under 0.5 Goals 4 Place your bet
Under 0.5 Goals 0%
Over 0.5 Goals 100%
Both teams to Score? 9 Place your bet
No 44%
Yes 56%
Half With Most Goals 1 Place your bet
Tie 0%
1st Half 0%
2nd Half 100%
Odd or Even Total Goals 1 Place your bet
Odd 100%
Even 0%
First Half Goals 1.5 9 Place your bet
Under 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 11%
Note: On the graphics, the lay Tips were converted to Back on the other choices of that market.

Tips
Note: Listing of Tips made only in contests available at the Online Betting Academy.

Forum comments

 

Serie A - 2019

  • 38% 144 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 52.08%
  • Draws 26.39%
  • Away team wins 21.53%
  • Over 1.5 67.36%
  • Over 2.5 43.75%
  • Over 3.5 22.22%
  • Goals 342
  • Goals /match 2.38
  • Goals /match home 1.48
  • Goals /match away 0.9
  • Both teams score 49.31%
  • Goals after 80' 19.3%
View all

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