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Fluminense Sport Recife betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This confrontation tends to be a little busy, considering that Fluminense has been acting very well defensively at home and suffered only 2 goals in the last 7 matches at its stadium, while Sport Recife failed to score goals in 6 of the last 10 away games. In addition, Fluminense's offensive performance is low, so much so that the team has the sixth worst attack of the competition, averaging less than 1 goal scored per game, while Sport Recife should play more cautiously, as a draw can already be considered a great result in its fight against relegation. Given these factors, we believe in a game without great emotions and a maximum of 2 goals scored and if there are 3, the investment will be returned.
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Preview
Fluminense and Sport Recife face at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), in a match for the 33th round of the Serie A. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 22‑07‑2018, Fluminense got an away win by (1‑2). The head‑to‑head record at this stadium couldn't be more balanced, as it shows 1 draw and 1 win for each team in the last 3 head‑to‑heads. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, on 25‑11‑2017, for the Serie A, Sport Recife won by (1‑2). Marcos Júnior (38' ) scored for Fluminense and André (12' and 23' ) for Sport Recife. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 10th and 16th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 15th best team in home matches and the 11th best in away matches.

Analysis Fluminense

After 11 wins, 7 draws and 14 losses, the home team is in the 10th position, havinf won 40 points so far. In the last match, they have lost at home against Vasco da Gama by (0‑1), after in the previous match they have lost (3‑0) an away match against Santos. This is a team that usually plays better at home, where they have won 27 points, against only 13 points in away matches. They come to this match after a away loss against Atlético PR by (2‑0). For the league, Fluminense won 17 points out of 30 possible points, after 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 16 matches). In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 13 of the last 16 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 32 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 16 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 16 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Fluminense is making only an average campaign in Serie A, comes in a poor phase with 3 losses in the last 4 games and is looking for a recovery to stay in the qualifying zone for the next Copa Sudamericana. The team has problems both in the offensive and defensive sectors, having scored only 31 goals, being the sixth worst attack of the competition, and suffered 39 goals, having the seventh defense less leaked, being a very young team that is quite irregular in the 2 sectors. Playing at home, as the match on Sunday, Fluminense has been alternating between good and bad results, comes from a painful defeat in the classic against Vasco da Gama, but it is worth emphasizing that its defense usually works very well in this type of situation, since it suffered only 2 goals in the last 7 home games. 
For the confrontation with Sport Recife, coach Marcelo Oliveira will not be able to count on defender Ibañez and midfielder Sornoza, both due to suspension.

Confirmed Lineup: Júlio César, Igor Julião, Ayrton, Digão, Paulo Ricardo, Richard, Jádson, Júnior Dutra, Luciano, Marcos Junior, Everaldo.

Analysis Sport

The away team is currently in the 16th position of the league, with 36 points won, after 10 wins, 6 draws and 16 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Grêmio, by (3‑4). In the last match, they won in a home match against Ceará, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 10 points in away matches and 26 at their stadium, with 17 goals scored and 15 conceded at home, against 15 goals scored and 38 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches Sport Recife has a record of 1 win and 9 losses, so they have won 3 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 16 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 32 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 18 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Sport Recife has spent several rounds in the relegation zone but has raised a lot of income in the last rounds, won 4 of its last 5 games and is looking for a positive result, since it is currently the first team over the last 4 places that would fall if the competition ended today. The team has an average attack that has scored 32 goals and is the tenth worst among 20 Serie A participants, but the big problem is its fragile defense that has conceded 53 goals and is the most leaked of the competition, both conceded goals in 7 of the last 8 rounds. Playing away from home, such as this Sunday's match, Sport Recife tends to perform very badly, lost 10 of its last 11 matches and it is worth mentioning that it suffered at least 2 goals in the last 8 games, again showing its enormous defensive fragility. 
For the confrontation against Fluminense, coach Milton Mendes will not be able to count on Sander due to injury.

Confirmed Lineup: Mailson, Cláudio Winck, Raul Prata, Ernando, Adryelson, Jair, Marcão Silva, Michel Bastos, Gabriel, Hernane, Mateus.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Fluminense vs Sport match, on 11 November 2018, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Under 3 goals ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Fluminense vs Sport on 11 November 2018 will be played at Rio de Janeiro, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Fluminense Sport match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Fluminense at with 69% of the tips.

 

Serie A - 2018

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 53.16%
  • Draws 28.95%
  • Away team wins 17.89%
  • Over 1.5 63.42%
  • Over 2.5 37.37%
  • Over 3.5 17.89%
  • Goals 827
  • Goals /match 2.18
  • Goals /match home 1.38
  • Goals /match away 0.79
  • Both teams score 42.63%
  • Goals after 80' 19.11%
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