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Flamengo VS Fluminense

Flamengo vs Fluminense

Flamengo
Flamengo
  • 1 - 1
  • Played

Fluminense

Preview
Flamengo and Fluminense face at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), in a match for the 27th round of the Serie A. In the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 18‑06‑2017, these teams have tied (2‑2). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 11 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 18‑06‑2017, in a match for the Serie A, they tied (2‑2). The goals of the match were scored by Diego (55' ) and M. Trauco (90' ), for Flamengo, and by Wendel (36' ) and Henrique Dourado (81' ), for Fluminense. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Flamengo presents significant differences between home and away results.

Analysis of Flamengo

After 10 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses, the home team is in the 7th position, havinf won 39 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Ponte Preta by (1‑0), after in the previous match they have tied (1‑1) at home, against Avaí. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in away matches; against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches Flamengo has a record of 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 20 points out of 30 possible. In their home league matches, the most frequent final score was the 2‑0 (5 out of 13 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 11 of their 26 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.

Flamengo is not going through its best moment in the Brazilian Championship, and returns to play at home after having suffered another away defeat in the competition. Now, the team is looking to control the match in order to conquer a positive result and compensate for the terrible sequence of four defeats away from home, having not scored a goal in the last three matches. However, as home team, Flamengo still has one of the best campaigns of the championship, condition in which it has the third best attack. The team also stands out for having the best ball possession average and being the second that misses the least passes, which facilitates the work of the defensive and offensive sectors. One of the team's highlights in recent rounds has been midfielder Everton Ribeiro.

Confirmed Lineup: Diego Alves, Réver, Rodinei, Juan, Pará, Lucas Paquetá, Éverton Ribeiro, Éverton, Rômulo, Márcio Araújo, O. Berrío.
Coach: R. Rueda.

Analysis of Fluminense

The away team is currently in the 16th position of the league, with 31 points won, after 7 wins, 10 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Palmeiras, by (0‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Grêmio, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 18 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Fluminense has a record of 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 12 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 26 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 13 away matches for this competition there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 6 of their 17 goals between minutes (31'‑45'); they have conceded 7 of their 18 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Fluminense is going through a bad moment in the Brazilian Championship, since it comes from five rounds without winning and now accumulates three consecutive defeats, when its attack scored just one goal. Now the team goes to the field seeking a rather unlikely win as it has only three victories to date. However, away from home the team has one of the most efficient attacks of the competition, having scored seventeen goals in thirteen games. The team is characterized by an opportunist offensive sector, since it is the third that less finalizes, and still has managed to convert in goal. For this match, the coach will not be able to count on the defender Frazan, who is suspended.

Confirmed Lineup: Diego Cavalieri, Gum, Lucas, Reginaldo, Marlon, Gustavo Scarpa, Douglas, Henrique Dourado, J. Sornoza, Marcos Júnior, Richard.
Coach: Abel Braga.

Betting suggestion:

This clash should not be one of the most balanced of this round of the Brazilian Championship, since, although it is a classic of football in Rio de Janeiro, puts in the field two teams that have been doing different campaigns throughout the competition.
Flamengo bets heavily on counterattacks and often creates many opportunities, but fails to finish, while its defense fails in aerial balls and the interception of long balls, and also made some individual mistakes. 
Fluminense attacks a lot by the wings, but its defense shows a lot of fragility, especially in holding the counterattacks and in the coverage of the sides. 
So, by playing at home, where it has shown strength, against a defensively inconsistent team, it is a good option to bet on the victory of Flamengo.

NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

Markets
Match Odds 104 Place your bet
Fluminense 9%
7
Flamengo 74%
1.75
The Draw 17%
4.2
Over/Under 2.5 goals 38 Place your bet
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
2.04
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
2.1
Half Time 29 Place your bet
Flamengo 48%
2.32
The Draw 31%
2.36
Fluminense 21%
6.7
Over/Under 1.5 Goals 43 Place your bet
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
1.333
Under 1.5 Goals 5%
4
Over/Under 3.5 Goals 23 Place your bet
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
3.55
Under 3.5 Goals 87%
1.38
Over/Under 4.5 Goals 5 Place your bet
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
7.6
Under 4.5 Goals 80%
1.14
Over/Under 0.5 Goals 7 Place your bet
Over 0.5 Goals 100%
1.08
Under 0.5 Goals 0% 12.5
Both teams to Score? 38 Place your bet
Yes 87%
2.1
No 13%
2.02
Half With Most Goals 3 Place your bet
2nd Half 67%
2.1
1st Half 0% 3.1
Tie 33%
3.5
Odd or Even Total Goals 1 Place your bet
Odd 0% 2
Even 100%
1.91
First Half Goals 1.5 8 Place your bet
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
3
Under 1.5 Goals 25%
1.4
First Half Goals 15 Place your bet
Under 0.5 Goals 13%
2.75
Over 0.5 Goals 87%
1.4
Note: On the graphics, the lay Tips were converted to Back on the other choices of that market.

Tips

Forum comments

 

Serie A - 2017

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 43.95%
  • Draws 27.11%
  • Away team wins 28.95%
  • Over 1.5 69.47%
  • Over 2.5 40.53%
  • Over 3.5 23.95%
  • Goals 923
  • Goals /match 2.43
  • Goals /match home 1.38
  • Goals /match away 1.04
  • Both teams score 48.68%
  • Goals after 80' 17.44%
View all
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