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Avaí Vasco da Gama betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This bout tends to be one of the most balanced of this round of the Brazilian Championship, since it puts in the field two teams that have been doing not very different campaigns, separated by only three points in the qualifying table. The home team shows a lot of fragility in the defensive sector, especially in the aerial game and in the fight against more skillful players, while its attack struggles to maintain ball possession. 
Vasco is betting heavily on counterattacks and plays by the wings, while its defense shows strength in tackles. Thus, we expect a very balanced game, the draw being a good betting option, but as Vasco has been offensively inefficient in the last away matches, Avaí has a slight favoritism.
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Preview
Avaí and Vasco da Gama meet at Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva, in a match for the 27th round of the Serie A. Vasco da Gama got a home win by (1‑0), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 17‑06‑2017. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 02‑07‑2016, in a match for the Serie B, Avaí won by (2‑1). The goals of the match were scored by Renato (50' ) and Romulo (65' ), for Avaí, and by Caio Monteiro (86' ), for Vasco da Gama. Although this is a match between 18th and 10th of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 17th best in home matches and the 16th best in away matches.

Analysis Avaí

The home team is currently in the 18th position of the league, with 30 points won, after 7 wins, 9 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Flamengo, by (1‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Atlético GO, by (0‑2). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since they have won 14 points in away matches, with 9 goals scored and 18 conceded, against 16 points won at their stadium, with 7 goals scored and 12 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Avaí has a record of 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 30 possible. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (7 out of 13 matches). 11 of their last 13 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. In 26 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 13 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 3 of their 7 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

Avaí, despite coming from a home defeat, is not going through a bad moment in the Brazilian Championship, since before that negative result had registered seven consecutive matches without losing, period in which accumulated three victories and conceded only three goals. However, now the team comes from three matches without winning, and remains in a complicated situation, within the relegation zone. As home team, Avaí has one of the worst campaigns of the championship, and owns the worst attack in that condition, having scored only seven goals in thirteen games. In addition to being the team that scores less goals, Avaí is also the one that finishes the least, and has the worst average ball possession of the entire competition. The coach is likely to keep the team in 4-2-2 or 4-2-3-1.

Confirmed Lineup: Douglas Friedrich, Leandro Silva, Capa, Alemão, Betão, Judson, Pedro Castro, Welington Simião, Luan Pereira, Joel Tagueu, Júnior Dutra.

Analysis Vasco

The away team is currently in the 10th position of the league, with 33 points won, after 9 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Sport Recife, by (1‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Chapecoense, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 12 points in away matches and 21 at their stadium, with 14 goals scored and 16 conceded at home, against 12 goals scored and 21 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches Vasco da Gama has a record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 12 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 26 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Vasco is not going through a great moment in the Brazilian Championship, coming from an unsatisfactory home draw in the last round. Now, the team comes from three rounds without a win, having scored only two goals in that period, which shows certain problems in the offensive sector. This poor performance of the attack can be observed especially in the away matches, as hit has one of the weakest offensive systems in that condition, failing to score goals in three of the last five away games. Curiously, Vasco is one of the team that most finished in the championship, but still has the fourth worst attack, evidencing a lot of inefficiency at the moment of conclusion. For this match, the coach will not be able to count on the defender Breno, who is suspended.

Confirmed Lineup: Martín Silva, Madson, Ramon Motta, Paulão, Anderson Martins, Jean, Wagner, Wellington, Mateus Vital, Andrés Ríos, Nenê.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Avaí vs Vasco match, on 12 October 2017, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Double chance, Avaí or Draw ⇒ bet available on williamhill.

The Avaí vs Vasco on 12 October 2017 will be played at Florianópolis, Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Avaí Vasco match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Avaí at with 37% of the tips.

 

Serie A - 2017

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 43.95%
  • Draws 27.11%
  • Away team wins 28.95%
  • Over 1.5 69.47%
  • Over 2.5 40.53%
  • Over 3.5 23.95%
  • Goals 923
  • Goals /match 2.43
  • Goals /match home 1.38
  • Goals /match away 1.04
  • Both teams score 48.68%
  • Goals after 80' 17.44%
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