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Avaí Bahia betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This clash puts face-to-face two teams that have failed to make good campaigns throughout the Brasileirão, and now they face some difficulty in this final stretch of competition to try to get rid of the relegation. However, the situation of Avaí is worse, since it is in the relegation zone, while Bahia appears right up, although without many points of difference. 
The home team has been struggling to control the ball and has been extremely inefficient to complete, and their defense shows extreme fragility against more skillful players. 
Bahia bets heavily on individual plays and counterattacks, showing efficiency at the time of finishing, but its defense leaves much to be desired in the coverage of the sides. 
Thus, by going through a better moment and having a more qualified team, it is a good option to bet on the victory of Bahia.
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Preview
Avaí and Bahia meet at Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva, in a match for the 33th round of the Serie A. These teams have tied (1‑1) in the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 16‑07‑2017. In 3 head‑to‑heads in the last 3 years, the away team won 2 and tied 1. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 19th and 10th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 17th best team in home matches and the 18th best in away matches.

Analysis Avaí

The home team is currently in the 19th position of the league, with 35 points won, after 8 wins, 11 draws and 13 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Grêmio, by (2‑2). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Coritiba, by (4‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since they have won 17 points in away matches, with 11 goals scored and 24 conceded, against 18 points won at their stadium, with 11 goals scored and 17 conceded. For the league, Avaí won 12 points out of 30 possible points, after 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in the last 10 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (8 out of 16 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 12 of the last 16 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 32 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 15 times and have never been able to turn the score around. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 16 home matches for this competition: they have scored 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

Avaí is going through a very difficult phase in this final stretch of the Brazilian Championship, since they are not adding the points they need to leave the relegation zone, having registered only one victory in the last nine rounds. 
In their last match, the team finished less than half the opponent's time and found a well-placed Coritiba defense, while their team did not play convincingly, allowing the (4-0) win. As was evident in this game, the offensive sector has been largely responsible for the team's poor performance, since it is the worst of the competition, with an average of 0.68 goal per game, and is the one that less finishes. 
Other numbers also allow us to conclude that the bad situation of the team is not by chance: it is the one that misses the most passes and the one that has the worst ball possession. 
One of the already confirmed absences for this bout is the right-back Leandro Silva, who is suspended.

Confirmed Lineup: Douglas Friedrich, Maicon, João Paulo, Alemão, Betão, Pedro Castro, Judson, Marquinhos, Luan Pereira, Júnior Dutra, Rômulo.
Coach: C. dos Santos Oliveira.

Analysis Bahia

The away team is currently in the 10th position of the league, with 42 points won, after 11 wins, 9 draws and 12 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Fluminense, by (1‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Ponte Preta, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 12 points in away matches and 30 points at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 17 goals conceded at home, against 13 goals scored and 24 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches Bahia has a record of 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 30 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 8 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 16 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 32 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 16 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Bahia is going through a good moment in this final stretch of the Brazilian Championship, and has been achieving important results that allowed the team to distance itself from the relegation zone, having only suffered one defeat in the last eight rounds. 
However, despite not having been leaked in the last round, the defense is probably the sector that has been preventing a more consistent campaign of the team from Bahia, since it is among the eight most leaked, having prevented the opponent to score in only four away games. 
Away from home, the team owns the third worst campaign of the competition, and in that condition has one of the four worst attacks. 
For this game, coach Carpegiani should not have big absences, and will probably keep the Colombian Mendoza as a reference in the offensive sector.

Confirmed Lineup: Jean, Eduardo, Juninho Capixaba, Tiago Pagnussat, Thiago Martins, Renê Júnior, Zé Rafael, Juninho, Agustin Allione, Edigar Junio, Stiven Mendoza.
Coach: R. Alves Paiva.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Avaí vs Bahia match, on 8 November 2017, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Under 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on williamhill.

The Avaí vs Bahia on 8 November 2017 will be played at Florianópolis, Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Avaí Bahia match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Bahia at with 46% of the tips.

 

Serie A - 2017

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 43.95%
  • Draws 27.11%
  • Away team wins 28.95%
  • Over 1.5 69.47%
  • Over 2.5 40.53%
  • Over 3.5 23.95%
  • Goals 923
  • Goals /match 2.43
  • Goals /match home 1.38
  • Goals /match away 1.04
  • Both teams score 48.68%
  • Goals after 80' 17.44%
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