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Atlético Mineiro Ponte Preta betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This will be a match between two teams from different realities. Atletico MG is being a highlight in the last couple of years, with great campaigns in the national league, and also important titles, like the Brazil Cup in 2014 and Libertadores in 2013. Ponte Preta, despite having their 3rd consecutive participation in Division I, spent some of the last decade in Division II, so it is clear they are a less traditional team, with a smaller structure and naturally an inferior squad. So due to having a better team and playing at home, we should back Atletico MG.
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Preview
Atlético Mineiro and Ponte Preta face at Estádio Raimundo Sampaio, in a match for the 3rd round of the Serie A. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 3 and tied 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Serie A, on 19‑06‑2016, Atlético Mineiro won by (3‑0). Leandro Donizete (24' ), J. Cazares (28' ) and Carlos (85' ) scored the goals of the match for Atlético Mineiro. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis Atl. Mineiro

Currently in the 15th position of the league, the home team has conquered 1 point so far. In the 1st round, they tied in an away match against Flamengo by (1‑1). In the following round, the final score was a (1‑2) loss in a home match against Fluminense. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in away matches; against 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses at their stadium. Atlético Mineiro has won 9 and lost 1 of the last 10 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 44 of the last 67 have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 4 of their 15 matches, and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 18 of their 47 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Atletico MG will ahve their 30th match this season, which will be their second home match in this competition, as they must improve to reach their first win. They were motivated after winning their regional league and also to advancing in the Copa Libertadores, but now they had  negative results, a loss away from home in this competition and a loss away from home in the Brazil Cup. At home, they played in 14 matches, with 13 wins and 1 loss. In this match, they should maintain a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-2-1 formation, with Gabriel as their offensive highlight.

Confirmed Lineup: Victor, Marcos Rocha, Fábio Santos, Felipe Santana, Gabriel, Rafael Carioca, Elias, Adílson, Juan Cazares, Robinho, Fred.
Coach: G. Milito.

Analysis Ponte Preta

The away team is currently in the 9th position of the league, with 3 points won. In their debut they won in a home match against Sport Recife, by (4‑0). In the second round, they lost in an away match against Botafogo, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 10 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Ponte Preta has won 4, tied 4 and lost 2. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 8 of their 21 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

Ponte Preta heads into their 25th match of the season, which will be their second match away from home, as they will be looking for their first points away from home. Despite starting with a great home win, they aren't in a great situation, as they have only 1 win in their last 6 matches. As a visitor, they played 12 matches in 2017, with 5 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws. In this match, they should maintain a 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1 formation, with Paraiba as their highlight through the right.

Confirmed Lineup: Aranha, Nino Paraíba, João Lucas, Naldo, Marllon, Kadu, Elton, Ravanelli, Wendel, Lins, Lucca.
Coach: H. Pinto dos Anjos.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Atl. Mineiro vs Ponte Preta match, on 28 May 2017, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Atl. Mineiro wins ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Atl. Mineiro vs Ponte Preta on 28 May 2017 will be played at Belo Horizonte, Estádio Raimundo Sampaio.

 

Serie A - 2017

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 43.95%
  • Draws 27.11%
  • Away team wins 28.95%
  • Over 1.5 69.47%
  • Over 2.5 40.53%
  • Over 3.5 23.95%
  • Goals 923
  • Goals /match 2.43
  • Goals /match home 1.38
  • Goals /match away 1.04
  • Both teams score 48.68%
  • Goals after 80' 17.44%
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