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América MG VS Chapecoense

Preview
América Mineiro and Chapecoense face at Estádio Raimundo Sampaio, in a match for the 12th round of the Serie A. In the last 3 years these teams met twice: the earliest head‑to‑head was played on 20‑08‑2016 and ended in a (1‑2) win by Chapecoense, and the latest on 22‑05‑2016, which ended in a (3‑1) win by Chapecoense. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 13th and 14th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 4th best team in home matches and the 17th best in away matches.

Analysis of América Mineiro

After 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses, the home team is in the 13th position, havinf won 13 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Grêmio by (1‑0), after in the previous match they have lost (1‑3) at home, against Atlético Mineiro. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 1 point in away matches, with 3 goals scored and 10 conceded, against 12 points won at their stadium, with 11 goals scored and 8 conceded. For the league, América Mineiro won 12 points out of 18 possible points, after 4 wins and 2 losses in the last 6 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 11 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 7 of their 19 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

América-Mg slipped in the last two games, but played against two very strong teams. In the next round, the home team will have a theoretically easier game, so it is very important that they can win all three points, because if they miss again they may see their situation in the competition getting more complicated. On the last round, the team was defeated by the Gremio by 1-0. The coach needs to present a very competitive initial eleven, as this is the last game before the start of the World Championship.

Confirmed Lineup: Jori, Matheus Ferraz, Norberto Neto, Messias, Serginho, Gerson Magrão, Leandro Donizete, Juninho, Judivan, Aylon, Ademir Santos.
Coach: Enderson Moreira.

Analysis of Chapecoense

The away team is currently in the 14th position of the league, with 13 points won, after 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Vitória, by (1‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Cruzeiro, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 2 points in away matches and 11 at their stadium, with 9 goals scored and 4 conceded at home, against 5 goals scored and 15 conceded in away matches. In the last 6 away league matches Chapecoense has a record of 2 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 2 points out of 18 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 6 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 6 of their 17 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

By playing away from home, Chapecoense should find some difficulties, since they will not have the support of their fans, and where the team has not been able to achieve good results. This should be a very closed game, since both teams have a similarly technical squad, so that whoever misses less should add the three points. On the last round, Chapecoense conquered a good result and defeated Cruzeiro by 2-0. The coach should not have important absences for this clash.

Confirmed Lineup: Jandrei, Rafael Thyere, Eduardo, Douglas, Bruno Pacheco, H. Canteros, Luiz Antônio, Elicarlos, Márcio Araújo, Leandro Pereira, Wellington Paulista.
Coach: Gilson Kleina.

Betting suggestion:

By playing at home, it is essential that America-MG can control the game and thus build their attack moves. The away team knows that this should be a very complicated game and that it will take a lot of concentration within the four lines because they will not want to make mistakes and jeopardize precious points. Both teams will be looking for the positive result, as they want to reach the World Cup in a more comfortable position, so we should have good goal chances during the match. For the above facts we will bet that the two teams will be able to score at least one goal each until the end of the 90 minutes.
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

Markets
Match Odds 45 Place your bet
The Draw 18%
3.3
America MG 77%
2.22
Chapecoense 6%
3.95
Over/Under 2.5 goals 27 Place your bet
Under 2.5 Goals 11%
1.64
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
2.54
Over/Under 1.5 Goals 30 Place your bet
Over 1.5 Goals 97%
1.5
Under 1.5 Goals 3%
2.96
Over/Under 3.5 Goals 6 Place your bet
Under 3.5 Goals 67%
1.24
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
5
Over/Under 0.5 Goals 7 Place your bet
Under 0.5 Goals 0% 8.6
Over 0.5 Goals 100%
1.12
Both teams to Score? 21 Place your bet
Yes 90%
2.1
No 10%
1.87
Half Time 6 Place your bet
America MG 83%
3.05
The Draw 17%
2.12
Chapecoense 0% 4.7
Note: On the graphics, the lay Tips were converted to Back on the other choices of that market.

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Forum comments

 

Serie A - 2018

  • 66% 250 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 53.6%
  • Draws 29.6%
  • Away team wins 16.8%
  • Over 1.5 63.6%
  • Over 2.5 35.6%
  • Over 3.5 18%
  • Goals 539
  • Goals /match 2.16
  • Goals /match home 1.38
  • Goals /match away 0.78
  • Both teams score 42%
  • Goals after 80' 18.74%
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