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Bragantino vs Náutico

Bragantino
Bragantino
  • 0 - 2
  • Played

Náutico

Preview:
Bragantino and Náutico face at Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, in a match for the 38th round of the Serie B. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 15‑08‑2015, Náutico got a home win by (3‑1). In 3 head‑to‑heads in the last 3 years, the away team won 1 and tied 2. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 5th and 6th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 3rd best team in home matches and the 13th best in away matches.

Analysis of Bragantino

After 19 wins, 3 draws and 15 losses, the home team is in the 5th position, havinf won 60 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Paraná by (0‑2), after in the previous match they have won (3‑0) at home, against Sampaio Corrêa. This is a team that usually plays better at home, where they have won 43 points, against only 17 points in away matches.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 11 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (8 out of 18 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 12 of the last 18 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 37 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 19 times and have only turned the score around in 5. In the last 18 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 6 of their 15 goals between minutes (46'‑60').

Bragantine haven't chances to be in the Serie A next year, so they will play this match just to maintain their place in the rating table. 
The team haven't lost at home in the last 11 matches, they won 10 and drew only one of them. In this eleven matches, the team conceded 10 goals and scored 27, showing their strong attack when they play at home. 

Confirmed Lineup: Rafael Broetto, Moises, Eder Lima, Gilberto Alemão, Alan Mineiro, Renan Tupa, Bruno Formigoni, Alemão, Thiago Santos, Rodolfo, Erick Salles.
Coach: Wagner Lopes.

Analysis of Náutico

The away team is currently in the 6th position of the league, with 60 points won, after 17 wins, 9 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against CRB, by (1‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Bahia, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 16 points in away matches and 44 at their stadium, with 30 goals scored and 14 conceded at home, against 17 goals scored and 28 conceded in away matches. Their last away match for this competition ended in a draw by (1‑1) against Macaé. In the last 10 away league matches Náutico has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 30 possible. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 12 of the last 18 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 37 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 18 times and have only turned the score around in 3. In the last 18 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 6 of their 17 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

Náutico also can't conquer a place in Serie A, and will play this last match to meet the schedule. 
However, they'll face a really strong opponent. 
Furthermore, Náutico don't usually play well away home, as we can see by the registry of their last 10 matches. They conquered 3 victories, 2 draws and 5 losses. 

Confirmed Lineup: Rodolpho, Ronaldo Alves, G. Filgueira, Rafael Pereira, Fabiano Eler, Marino, Adniel, Guilherme Biteco, Hiltinho, Bergson, Daniel Morais.
Coach: Gilmar Dall Pozzo.

Betting suggestion:

Bragantino is the favourite team and, despite the can't reach the top-4 of Serie B, they'll try to finish the championship with a victory in front of their fans. 
It's probable that they score, by their strong attack. 
So, the bet is over 1.5 goals to 1.33.

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Serie B - 2015

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 51.32%
  • Draws 27.11%
  • Away team wins 21.58%
  • Over 1.5 71.05%
  • Over 2.5 45%
  • Over 3.5 22.89%
  • Goals 925
  • Goals /match 2.43
  • Goals /match home 1.49
  • Goals /match away 0.94
  • Both teams score 52.37%
  • Goals after 80' 17.19%
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