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Bahia vs ABC

Bahia
Bahia
  • 2 - 2
  • Played

ABC

Preview:

Analysis of Bahia

Bahia and ABC face at Arena Fonte Nova, in a match for the 35th round of the B Series. In the last league head to head, played in 01‑08‑2015, Bahia got an away win by (0‑3). Although this is a match between 8th and 18th in the league table, it’s actually a match between the 8th best in home matches and the 8th best in away matches.

The home team is currently in the 8th position of the league, with 54 points won, after 14 wins, 12 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Botafogo, by (1‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Santa Cruz, by (1‑2). Despite this loss, Santa Cruz is usually a strong team in home matches and didn’t lose any of the previous 14 matches at home. Sure enough, this is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 17 points in away matches and 37 points at their stadium, with 28 goals scored and 15 goals conceded at home, against 17 goals scored and 20 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 home league matches Bahia has a record of 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 18 points out of 30 possible.

In their home matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 1‑0 (6 out of 17 matches) and after the 90' 1‑0 (6 out of 17 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 11 of the last 17 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 34 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Confirmed Lineup: Douglas Pires, Vitor, Cicinho, Gabriel Valongo, Gustavo, Yuri, Tiago Real, Eduardo, M. Biancucchi, Kieza, Roger.
Coach: Aroldo Moreira.

Analysis of ABC

The away team is currently in the 18th position of the league, with 28 points won, after 5 wins, 13 draws and 16 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Sampaio Corrêa, by (2‑3). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Ceará, by (3‑0). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 16 points in away matches and 12 at their stadium. In the last 10 away league matches ABC has a record of 4 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 30 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 12 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 34 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 17 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Despite all these problems, ABC needs to win points to avoid relegation, since there aren’t many rounds left to play. Therefore, they should fight for the win, although they face as visitors a strong team which is fighting for A Series access. In fact, in case of a loss in this round they will have their relegation confirmed, so they have nothing to lose.


Confirmed Lineup: Saulo, Sueliton, Adriano Alves, Reginaldo, Ronaldo Mendes, Fábio Bahia, Rafael Miranda, Marcílio, Bismark, Pingo, Chiclete.
Coach: Sérgio China.

Betting suggestion:

In this match, Bahia has the home advantage and needs to win points to fight for A Series access. On the other hand, ABC hasn’t won in the last 3 rounds and hasn’t won in the last 11 away matches. Therefore, the most likely scenario is that ABC won’t present enough arguments to avoid the loss, so the bet in favour of the home team is of good value.
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NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

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Serie B - 2015

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 51.32%
  • Draws 27.11%
  • Away team wins 21.58%
  • Over 1.5 71.05%
  • Over 2.5 45%
  • Over 3.5 22.89%
  • Goals 925
  • Goals /match 2.43
  • Goals /match home 1.49
  • Goals /match away 0.94
  • Both teams score 52.37%
  • Goals after 80' 17.19%
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