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Analysis of Flamengo

Flamengo have arrived at this round of the Brazil Cup after eliminating Salgueiro/PE, with a 2-0 victory. They now face another team from Pernambuco, Náutico Capibaribe.

In the Brazilian Championship the team is in a terrible moment, after two losses and a draw. They lost their two away matches and tied 2-2against another team from Pernambuco, Sport Recife. This bad start has left the team in the relegation zone and the alarms have sounded in the club to recover as soon as possible.

In the Brazil Cup, the team has done as expected and won all three matches so far. In the 1st round, they eliminated Brasil de Pelotas, with a 2-1 away win and a 2-0 home win. In the next round, they faced Salgueiro and won easily by 2-0, with no need for a 2nd leg match. In this 3rd round their biggest concern is that they are going to have a classic next weekend, against Fluminense, for the Brazilian Championship. Apart from the latest negative results, this is yet another pressure factor for the team. Therefore, they are unlikely to use all their usual starting line-up in this Cup match against modest Náutico.

Confirmed Lineup: Paulo Victor, P. Armero, Pará, Wallace, Bressan, H. Canteros, V. Cáceres, Arthur Maia, Alecsandro, Almir, Paulinho.
Coach: Oswaldo de Oliveira.

Analysis of Náutico

Unlike Flamengo, Náutico are in good shape and in harmony with their supporters. In the last 12 matches they only lost 3a and tied one, despite registering five matches with no losses.
In the B Series, the team is very strong and leads the competition with 9 points conquered in these first 3 rounds. Náutico has scored 4 goals and has suffered none in the 270 minutes of the competition. The team is very solid and confident in the Brazil Cup also. They have eliminated Brasília in the first round, with two wins, 1-0 away and 2-0 at home. In the 2nd round they faced Jacuipense da Bahia and qualified in the 1st leg match after a 2-0 away win.

Therefore, Náutico is highly motivated and ready to seize this opportunity to beat Flamengo in this low form moment.

Confirmed Lineup: Júlio César, Guilherme Lucena, Fabiano Eler, João Ananias, Flavio, G. Filgueira, Pedro Carmona, Rogerinho, Willian Magrão, Marino, Douglas Vieira.
Coach: Gilmar Dall Pozzo.

Betting suggestion:

We expect a hard match for either team, but especially for Flamengo, who are soon to face an important classic. But Náutico will not have an easy task either, since they play this cup match on Wednesday and play again on Saturday against Sampaio Corrêa, in the Maranhão Stadium, for the B Series. But we still believe Náutico Odds are too high, since we don’t believe Flamengo is that much superior as to qualify in this 1st leg match. Therefore we believe the Asian Handicap +1.5 in favour of the away team is of good value.

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NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

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Note: On the graphics, the lay Tips were converted to Back on the other choices of that market.

Tips : Flamengo vs Náutico


Copa do Brasil - 2015

  • 92% 158 / 172 Games

  • Home team wins 47.47%
  • Draws 20.25%
  • Away team wins 32.28%
  • Over 1.5 75.95%
  • Over 2.5 51.27%
  • Over 3.5 24.68%
  • Goals 417
  • Goals /match 2.64
  • Goals /match home 1.49
  • Goals /match away 1.15
  • Both teams score 55.06%
  • Goals after 80' 15.59%
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