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Newell's Old Boys Independiente betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This confrontation tends to be little busy, considering that the home team has a low quality attack that is among the worst of the Argentine Superliga, finding great difficulties to score goals, while the away one has a defense of enormous solidity that suffers very few goals, being the second less leaked of the competition. In addition, Newell's has improved defensively and conceded only 2 goals in the last four home games, while Independiente has conceded only 2 goals in the last eight games and should take a more relaxed posture, thinking about the game against Corinthians for the Copa Libertadores next week. Given these factors, we believe in a game without great emotions and low score.
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Preview
Newell's Old Boys and Independiente face at Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa, in a match for the 25th round of the Primera División. In 3 head‑to‑heads in the last 3 years, the away team won 3. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 08‑05‑2017, and ended in a (2‑4) win by Independiente. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 22th and 5th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 9th best team in home matches and the 1st best in away matches.

Analysis NOB

The home team is currently in the 22th position of the league, with 24 points won, after 7 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Talleres Córdoba, by (2‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Boca Juniors, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 5 points in away matches, with 7 goals scored and 16 conceded, against 22 points won at their stadium, with 15 goals scored and 9 conceded. For the league, Newell's Old Boys won 18 points out of 30 possible points, after 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 10 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (7 out of 12 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 14 of their 24 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

Newell's Old Boys campaign far below expected, has seen its series of 3 games without losing end in the last round and now goes in search of recovery to move away from the bottom of the standings. The team is characterized by an ineffective attack that has scored only 22 goals and is the seventh worst among the 28 participants in the league, while the defense has been acting in an average way, being the thirteenth less leaked with 25 goals conceded. Playing at home, as this Saturday's clash, Newell's comes in a great series of 3 consecutive victories and it is worth mentioning that it has only conceded 2 goals in the last 4 home league games, improving greatly in this regard alongside its fans. For this match, the coach has no problems in the initial 11 and goes to field with his best players.

Confirmed Lineup: Nelson Ibañez, José San Román, Leonel Ferroni, Bruno Bianchi, Fabricio Fontanini, Hernán Bernardello, Joaquin Torres, Jerónimo Cacciabue, Alexis Rodríguez, Víctor Figueroa, Héctor Fertoli.
Coach: I. Heinze.

Analysis Independiente

The away team is currently in the 5th position of the league, with 43 points won, after 12 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Boca Juniors, by (1‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Defensa y Justicia, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 22 points in away matches and 21 at their stadium, with 12 goals scored and 11 conceded at home, against 14 goals scored and 5 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches Independiente has a record of 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 21 points out of 30 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 9 away matches. In their away league matches there are a few frequent results at half‑time: 0‑1 (6 out of 11 matches) and 0‑0 (4 out of 11 matches). In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 8 of the last 11 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 24 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Independiente has made a good campaign in the Argentine Superliga, but has been acting in a somewhat irregular way in the last games, alternating between good and bad results and is looking for greater solidity again to try to enter the zone of qualification for the next Copa Libertadores. The team has a tremendous quality defense that has only conceded 16 goals, being the second defense less leaked among the 28 teams of the competition, while the attack needs to improve, since it averages a little over 1 goal scored per game, so much that it only scored 3 goals in the last 5 league games. 
Playing away from home, such as this Saturday's match, Independiente has been performing very well, alternating between victories and draws and its defense again has been essential for good away performances, having conceded only 2 goals in the last 8 away games. 
For the game against Newell's Old Boys, coach Ariel Holan should spare some athletes thinking about the Copa Libertadores game next week against strong 

Confirmed Lineup: Martín Campaña, Jorge Figal, Gastón Silva, Alan Franco, Fernando Amorebieta, Diego Rodriguez, Nicolás Domingo, Maximiliano Meza, Martin Benitez, Emanuel Gigliotti, Leandro Fernández.
Coach: C. Tevez.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the NOB vs Independiente match, on 28 April 2018, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Under 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The NOB vs Independiente on 28 April 2018 will be played at Rosario, Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the NOB Independiente match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Independiente at with 77% of the tips.

 

Primera División - 2017/2018

  • 100% 378 / 378 Games

  • Home team wins 44.44%
  • Draws 27.78%
  • Away team wins 27.78%
  • Over 1.5 66.14%
  • Over 2.5 38.89%
  • Over 3.5 20.9%
  • Goals 854
  • Goals /match 2.26
  • Goals /match home 1.29
  • Goals /match away 0.97
  • Both teams score 42.33%
  • Goals after 80' 17.8%
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