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Estudiantes Vélez Sarsfield betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match is the occurrence of some goals. Estudiantes De La Plata comes in a bad sequence without winning and needs the 3 points at home to recover in the competition, so it should adopt a more offensive stance than usual. Vélez Sársfield, meanwhile, has played very busy games away from home, so much so that 4 of the last 5 away matches had goals from both sides, and 3 of them had at least 4 goals on the scoreboard, since the team maintains its offensive posture even away from home but ends up leaving many spaces behind. Given these factors, we believe in a game with spaces to attack, good offensive volume and at least 2 goals on the scoreboard.
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Preview
Estudiantes and Vélez Sarsfield meet at Estadio Ciudad de La Plata, in a match for the 16th round of the Primera División. Oddly enough, the head‑to‑head record favours Estudiantes: in the last 4 matches they won 2, tied 1 and lost 1. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 14th and 5th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 13th best team in home matches and the 18th best in away matches.

Analysis Estudiantes

The home team is currently in the 14th position of the league, with 18 points won, after 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Lanús, by (1‑1). In the last match, they tied in an away match against San Lorenzo, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 6 points in away matches, with 7 goals scored and 9 conceded, against 12 points won at their stadium, with 8 goals scored and 6 conceded. In their last match, for the Club Friendlies, they got an away win against Colo Colo by (0‑2). In the last 7 home league matches Estudiantes has a record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 12 points out of 21 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 4 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 7 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 14 of the last 23 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 15 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have never been able to turn the score around. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 12 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 4 of their 10 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Estudiantes De La Plata is campaigning far below the expected in the Argentine Super-ligue, coming in a very bad sequence of 5 games without wins, having accumulated 4 draws and 1 defeat and goes in search of recovery, since it has fallen in the standings. The team needs to do more, especially in the offensive sector, having scored only 15 goals in 15 rounds, being the tenth worst attack among the 26 players in the league, and conceded 15 goals, with only the tenth defense being less leaked, being a team who likes to play more closely, but ends up creating few opportunities. 
Playing at home, as the match of this Monday, Estudiantes De La Plata comes from 2 wins and 2 draws and has done less intense matches, so much so that 6 of their last 7 home games had at most 2 goals on the scoreboard. 
For the confrontation with Vélez Sársfield, coach Benítez will not be able to count on midfielder Pellegrini due to suspension.

Analysis Vélez

The away team is currently in the 5th position of the league, with 25 points won, after 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Rosario Central, by (2‑0). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Patronato, by (3‑3). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 5 points in away matches and 20 points at their stadium, with 10 goals scored and 1 goal conceded at home, against 9 goals scored and 15 conceded in away matches. In their last match, for the Club Friendlies, they got an away loss against Newell's Old Boys by (1‑0). In the last 7 away league matches Vélez Sarsfield has a record of 1 win, 2 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 5 points out of 21 possible. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 13 of the last 15 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 15 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Vélez Sársfield makes a good campaign in the Super League, comes in a 4-round unbeaten run in which they have registered 2 wins and 2 draws and is looking for another positive result to try to enter the qualifying zone for the next Copa Libertadores. The team has a good quality attack that scored 19 goals and is the fifth best of the competition, but the defense still needs adjustments, since it suffered 16 goals and is the tenth more leaked, but it is worth mentioning that it improved in this sector and did not suffer goals in 3 of the last 4 rounds. 
Considering the away matches, Vélez Sársfield has been quite irregular, alternating between good and bad results, and has made busy games, so much so that 4 of the last 5 matches played in this type of situation had goals of both sides, with the fifth most positive attack and the most leaked defense in the this situation.
For the confrontation against Estudiantes De La Plata, coach Gabriel Heinze will not be able to count on the defender Abram due to suspension.
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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Estudiantes vs Vélez match, on 29 January 2019, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Over 1,5 goals ⇒ bet available on williamhill.

The Estudiantes vs Vélez on 29 January 2019 will be played at Quilmes, Estadio Centenario Dr. José Luis Meiszner.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Estudiantes Vélez match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Vélez at with 39% of the tips.

 

Primera División - 2018/2019

  • 100% 325 / 325 Games

  • Home team wins 43.38%
  • Draws 31.38%
  • Away team wins 25.23%
  • Over 1.5 66.77%
  • Over 2.5 39.08%
  • Over 3.5 19.38%
  • Goals 719
  • Goals /match 2.21
  • Goals /match home 1.25
  • Goals /match away 0.96
  • Both teams score 44.31%
  • Goals after 80' 10.99%
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