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Topic: Toluca vs Cruz Azul - Liga MX Rnd.16 01/05/16 18:00  (Read 113 times)

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    Stats » Liga MX Mexico » Toluca vs Cruz Azul

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      Analysis: Toluca vs Cruz Azul (01 May 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: April 29 2016, 10:11 »

      Deportivo Toluca and Cruz Azul face at Estadio Nemesio Díez, in a match for the 16ª round of the Liga MX. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 6 head‑to‑heads they won 3, tied 1 and lost 2. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Liga MX, on 01‑03‑2015, Deportivo Toluca won by (1‑0). P. Da Silva (77' ) scored the only goal of the match. Deportivo Toluca registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

      Analysis of Toluca

      After 15 wins, 11 draws and 10 losses, the home team is in the 11ª position, havinf won 19 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against América by (0‑1), after in the previous match they have won (4‑2) at home, against Veracruz. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in away matches; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches o Deportivo Toluca has a record of 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 18 points out of 30 possible.

      In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (7 out of 18 matches). They have conceded the first goal in 12 of their 36 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 2.

      With their focus divided between Clausura and Libertadores Cup, Toluca took some time to climb up on performance in the national championship, but reaches the last matches with good chances to qualify. This weekend match takes place between the two legs of the Libertadores Final’s round of 16, which can disrupt the team. For this Sunday important match, the coach José Cardozo won’t count on the injured Fernando Uribe, Gerardo Flores, Enrique Triverio and Richard Ortiz.

      Analysis of Cruz Azul

      The away team is currently in the 10ª position of the league, with 19 points won, after 9 wins, 12 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against o Santos Laguna, by (0‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against o Veracruz, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 23 goals scored and 25 conceded; against 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 15 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches o Cruz Azul has a record of 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 30 possible.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 32 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 15 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

      Cruz Azul is in clear drop of income and increasingly with greater difficulties to achieve qualification for the next stage. Therefore, the team needs a lot to win this match to continue to dream about the qualifying and, the coach Tomas Boy must have full squad available. 

      Betting suggestion:

      This will be a match between teams with different playing styles but that are equivalent in the absence of defensive solidity and poor marking quality. So, it’s foreseeable that we’ll have an open match with chances for both sides. A bet on over 2.5 goals seems to have great value.

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      Stats » Liga MX » Toluca vs Cruz Azul