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Topic: Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano - Primera División Rnd.36 30/04/16 17:15  (Read 73 times)

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    Stats » Primera División Spain » Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

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      Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano (30 April 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: April 28 2016, 09:13 »

      Atlético Madrid and Rayo Vallecano face at Estadio Vicente Calderón, in a match for the 36ª round of the Primera División. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 30‑12‑2015, Atlético Madrid got an away win by (0‑2). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in the last 5 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 14‑01‑2016, in a match for the Copa del Rey, Atlético Madrid won by (3‑0). The goals of the match were scored by A. Griezmann (80' e 90' ) e Á. Correa (40' ) for Atlético Madrid. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, since Rayo Vallecano presents significant differences between home and away performances.

      Analysis of Atlético

      After 26 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, the home team is in the 2ª position, havinf won 82 points so far. In the last match, they have won at home against Málaga by (1‑0), after in the previous match they have won (0‑1) an away match against Athletic Club. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in away matches; against 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses at their stadium. They come to this match after a home win against Bayern München by (1‑0).

      In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 15 home matches. There are a few recurrent results in their home league matches at half‑time: 0‑0 (7 out of 17 matches) and 1‑0 (6 out of 17 matches). Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 7 of the last 17 for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. They have been able to score first and have done so in 27 of the last 35 matches for the Primera División, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 17 of those 27 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 23 of them. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 35 matches for this competition, but have been able to turn the score around in 3.

      Tiago will be absent because he is still in injury time. The team of Madrid has as main characteristic the way deals with the air play, and this is the main weapon of the team. When they invest in the offensive process, they do it normally through the left flank, taking advantage of the depth offered by the lateral Filipe Luis. So, it’s foreseeable that the home team will act in a 4-4-2 where the two forward players are Griezmann and Fernando Torres.

      Analysis of Vallecano

      The away team is currently in the 16ª position of the league, with 35 points won, after 8 wins, 11 draws and 16 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against o Málaga, by (1‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against o Real Madrid, by (2‑3). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 0 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 36 conceded; against 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 23 goals scored and 23 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Rayo Vallecano has a record of 0 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 6 points out of 30 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 15 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 12 of the last 17 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 35 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 17 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

      Rayo Vallecano comes unmotivated for this match after a home defeat by 2-3 against Real Madrid. For this match, the home team won’t count on Piti, Cobeño, Ebert and Toño, all through injury. Fedor Venezuela is the most offensive reference of Vallecas team, and this season he has already scored eight goals, thus presenting good arguments in finishing. Whenever possible, Rayo Vallecano attacks through the wings, taking advantage of the depth offered by their laterals. Roberto Trashorras is the player responsible for guiding the offensive process of Rayo Vallecano.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be Atletico Madrid to be winning at half-time. In addition to the Madrid team act at home, they will match an opponent who is a little down, both technically and tactically. Thus, it’s foreseeable that the home team will come for this match imposing their style of play, don’t letting Rayo Vallecano to "breathe".


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