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Topic: União Madeira vs Académica - Primeira Liga Rnd.32 01/05/16 20:30  (Read 152 times)

Offline Estatísticas

  • Posts: 343245
    Timeline
    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2016-01-02
    15/16
    Académica 3-1 União Madeira
    2015-02-04
    14/15
    Académica 3-1 União Madeira
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    Stats » Primeira Liga Portugal » União Madeira vs Académica

    Offline Academia

    • Posts: 81187
      Analysis: União Madeira vs Académica (01 May 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: April 30 2016, 15:42 »

      União Madeira and Acadêmica face at Estádio do Centro Desportivo da Madeira, in a match for the 32ª round of the Primeira Liga. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 02‑01‑2016, Académica got a home win by (3‑1). In 2 head‑to‑heads in the last 3 years, the away team won 2, tied 0 and lost 0. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 16º and 17º of the league table, it’s also a match between the 11º best team in home matches and the 17º best in away matches.

      Analysis of União Madeira

      The home team is currently in the 16ª position of the league, with 26 points won, after 6 wins, 8 draws and 17 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Paços de Ferreira, by (3‑4). In the last match, they lost in an away match against o Sporting CP, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 5 points in away matches, with 8 goals scored and 32 conceded, against 21 points won at their stadium, with 15 goals scored and 14 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches o União Madeira has a record of 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 16 points out of 30 possible.

      In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (7 out of 15 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 10 of their last 15 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. They have conceded the first goal in 16 of their 31 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around. There are 1 periods that stand out in the last 15 home matches for this competition: they have suffered 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

      Madeira Union comes unmotivated for this match after the defeat against Sporting, adding the twelfth consecutive match without winning. In this match it’d foreseeable that the coach Norton de Matos will play in the usual 4-3-3, but using a more offensive strategy, risking the attack since the first minute, because they need to score points. Danilo Dias is the best scorer of the team with 7 goals in this league. For this match the coach won’t count on Ricardo Campos, André Moreira, injured; and he still doesn’t know if will count on Nilson and Kisley due to injury.

      Analysis of Académica

      The away team is currently in the 17ª position of the league, with 24 points won, after 5 wins, 9 draws and 17 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against o Belenenses, by (1‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against o Porto, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 5 points in away matches and 19 at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 28 conceded at home, against 11 goals scored and 27 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches Acadêmica has a record of 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses, so they have won 3 points out of 30 possible.

      In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 15 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (9 out of 15 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 31 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 18 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 15 away matches for this competition there are 1 periods that stand out: they have conceded 11 of their 27 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

      Academic is going through a very difficult time of the championship and currently has six consecutive matches without winning. In this match the coach Filipe Gouveia must act in the usual 4-2-3-1 favoring defensive organization and counterattacks. Gonçalo Paciência is the forward player of the visiting team; however, Pedro Nuno is the best scorer of the team with 4 goals scored. It’s important to highlight that the visiting team has great difficulty in defensive transition due to the slowness of their players and ball possession maintenance. For this match the coach won’t count on Emidio Rafael, Aderlan, Obiora and Artur Taborda, injured.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match is the existence of some goals. Given the recent form and the need to punctuate of the two teams will be expectable that they’ll provide an open match with many score chances for both sides. So, we believe this match will meet the trend of recent matches and will finish with a few goals on the final scoreboard.


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