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Topic: Arouca vs Nacional - Primeira Liga Rnd.32 01/05/16 18:15  (Read 112 times)

Offline Estatísticas

  • Posts: I am a geek!!
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    Timeline
    Head-to-Head in the last 3 years
    Date   Home   Away
    2016-01-02
    15/16
    Nacional 2-2 Arouca
    2015-02-08
    14/15
    Arouca 3-3 Nacional
    2015-01-21
    14/15
    Arouca 1-0 Nacional
    2014-08-31
    14/15
    Nacional 2-0 Arouca
    2014-02-16
    13/14
    Arouca 1-1 Nacional
    2013-09-15
    13/14
    Nacional 0-1 Arouca



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    Stats » Primeira Liga Portugal » Arouca vs Nacional

    Offline Academia

    • Posts: 153322
      Analysis: Arouca vs Nacional (01 May 2016)
      « Reply #1 on: April 29 2016, 12:29 »

      Arouca and Nacional meet at Estádio Municipal de Arouca, in a match for the 32ª round of the Primeira Liga. These teams have tied (2‑2) in the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 02‑01‑2016. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 3 head‑to‑heads they won 1, tied 2 and lost 0. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primeira Liga, on 08‑02‑2015, they tied (3‑3). Roberto (84' e 79' ) e Rui Sampaio (40' ) scored for Arouca and M. Rondón (85' , 25' e 18' ) for Nacional. Nacional registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

      Analysis of Arouca

      The home team is currently in the 5ª position of the league, with 49 points won, after 12 wins, 13 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Rio Ave, by (0‑0). In the last match, they won in an away match against o Marítimo, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 25 conceded; against 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 13 conceded. For the league, Arouca won 21 points out of 30 possible points, after 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the last 10 home matches.

      They have presented defensive consistency, since they have only suffered goals in 3 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 12 of their 31 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

      Arouca comes motivated for this match after the victory won in Maritimo’s home, thus continue the fight for a place in European competition. Usually the coach Lito Vidigal plays in 4-3-3 favoring counterattack through the flanks. Ivo Rodrigues and Matthew are usual bets of the home team’s coach. To point out that Arouca usually has interesting notes in some matches either offensive or defensively level. The highlight of Arouca is the centre forward Maurides. The Brazilian has scored 5 goals in the league. Apparently the coach can count on all the players.

      Analysis of Nacional

      The away team is currently in the 9ª position of the league, with 37 points won, after 10 wins, 7 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against o Porto, by (4‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against o Moreirense, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 9 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 21 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches o Nacional has a record of 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 30 possible.

      Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 31 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 17 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

      National comes unmotivated for this match after the two consecutive defeats in the league. The visiting team usually line up in 4-3-3 opting for a more cautious style of play and successive counterattacks, mainly through the flanks. Salvador Agra is very important in defense-attack transition. But, it must be observed that National has some weaknesses in the defensive organization and defense-attack transition. Tiquinho Soares remains the best scorer of the team with six goals scored. For this match the coach won’t count on Román and Willyan, injured, and João Aurélio, punished. And he still doesn’t know if will count on Rodrigo Pinho.

      Betting suggestion:

      The most likely scenario for this match will be the victory of Arouca. Although coming for this match after a home draw, we believe that Arouca will enjoy their strong collective to continue on the path of victories in the championship. So, it’s expectable that Arouca will beat with some difficulty Nacional, a team that has shown great irregularity in the away home matches.


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